NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Pair surpasses 98.00, establishing new cycle highs

July 3, 2024 10:51 pm

  • NZD/JPY resumes its bullish trend, surpassing 98.00 mark and hitting new cycle highs.
  • Immediate supports identified at 97.50 and 97.00 markers represented by 20-day SMA in case of potential corrections.
  • As the pair rides uncharted terrain it might test the 99.00-100.00 range.

On Wednesday, the NZD/JPY pair resumed its upward trajectory, an extension of the bullish trend noted in the previous week. Even as a strong bullish drive emerges as the predominant force, there is caution regarding a potential correction as indicators reflect overbought conditions. In the session, the pair rose by 0.60% to reach 98.70, a fresh cycle high.

In terms of the daily chart’s analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has increased, now sitting in overbought territory at a reading of 75, up from Tuesday’s reading of 68. This points to increasing market momentum. However, this climb incurs the risk of a potential pullback given these heightened overbought conditions. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) presents green bars, also adding arguments to the overextended movements.

NZD/JPY daily chart

Looking ahead, it is anticipated that the pair may sustain its upward trajectory, remaining above the 20-day, 100-day, and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA), suggesting ongoing bullish momentum. However, there might be possible corrections due to current overbought situations.

Immediate support in case of a downward correction is now speculated around the 97.50 and 97.00 markers, represented by the 20-day SMA. Buyers should concentrate on maintaining these levels prior to reaching newer peaks. Potential for advancements around 98.80, 99.00, and even 100.00 windows are within sight, following a successful defense of the 97.00 level.

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