Forecasting the USCrude price requires taking into account fundamental, geopolitical, and technical factors. The dynamics of crude oil not only shape the global economic environment but also depend heavily on exporting countries’ decisions, macroeconomic indicators, and unexpected events.
In this review, we will examine the outlook for oil prices over the upcoming trading sessions, assess prospects for the week ahead, and outline key benchmarks for the coming month. The forecast takes into account the current supply-demand balance, speculative positioning, and the latest geopolitical developments.
The article covers the following subjects:
Expert Technical Analysis for USCrude for Today
The 4-hour chart shows the following signals:
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A Bullish Marubozu candlestick pattern (1) formed in the $82.67–$83.84 range, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend.
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MACD is gradually rising in positive territory, suggesting that bullish momentum is strengthening.
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The RSI is holding at 66 and could move in either direction.
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The MFI is also rising, showing strong capital inflows.
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The VWAP and SMA20 are below the market price, indicating a bullish bias.
Trading Plan for USCrude for Today
Oil forecast for today:
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Key support levels: $82.67, $80.53, $78.42, $76.02, $73.91, $71.84, $69.92, $67.93, $65.15, $63.30.
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Key resistance levels: $85.09, $87.30, $89.72, $92.50, $94.91, $97.41, $99.69, $102.18.
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Base scenario: Open long positions (1) above $85.09 on increased volume. Targets: $87.30, $89.72, $92.50, $94.91, $97.41, $99.69, and $102.18. Stop Loss (3): $83.84.
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Alternative scenario: Open short positions (2) on increased volume below $82.67, with price targets at $80.53, $78.42, $76.02, $73.91, $71.84, $69.92, $67.93, $65.15, and $63.30. Stop Loss (3): $83.84.
The analysis is provided by Alan Tsagaraev.
Alan Tsagaraev is an independent trader and analyst specializing in stock, foreign exchange, and cryptocurrency markets. He holds a degree in Economics and has been a professional investor and financial market trader since 2019. Over the course of his career, he has increased his capital more than tenfold.
USCrude Real-Time Market Status
USCrude is trading at $84.526 as of 19.08.2026.
Oil Price Forecast for Tomorrow
On August 19, 2026, USCrude is projected to continue to rise.
USCRUDE price prediction tomorrow:
|
Date |
Daily Low, $ |
Average Price, $ |
Daily High, $ |
|
19.08.2026 |
78.42 |
84.07 |
89.72 |
Oil Price Forecast for Next Week
Moderate USCRUDE price volatility is expected this week amid the release of the FOMC minutes, July industrial production data, US crude oil inventories, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for August, preliminary August manufacturing and services PMI data, and other macroeconomic indicators. Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may trigger increased volatility.
USCRUDE price prediction this week:
|
Date |
Weekly Low, $ |
Average Price, $ |
Weekly High, $ |
|
17.08.2026– 23.08.2026 |
67.93 |
82.67 |
97.41 |
Oil Price Prediction for Next 30 Days
In August 2026, WTI crude oil is expected to trade within a broad range of $67.93–$106.74. Prices are likely to be driven by several key factors, including geopolitical tensions, the US–Iran conflict, potential disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supplies, and the possibility of tighter monetary policy from the US Federal Reserve.
USCrude price prediction 30 days:
|
Month |
Monthly Low, $ |
Average Price, $ |
Monthly High, $ |
|
August |
67.93 |
87.33 |
106.74 |
USCrude Outlook: Market Sentiment and Key Events for the Next 30 Days
The following factors may affect the price of USCrude:
- Oil prices surged more than 20% in July amid rising geopolitical tensions and global supply shocks.
- The escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, and Saudi Arabia’s retaliatory actions against Iran-aligned forces have significantly heightened risks to key maritime trade routes. A decline in US crude inventories provided an additional bullish catalyst.
- Global crude supplies are gradually tightening as shipping volumes through the Strait of Hormuz decline. Vessel traffic through the strategic waterway has fallen sharply as Iran continues targeting tankers that disregard its demands.
- OPEC+ is expected to implement a final production quota increase of 188,000 bpd in September, completing the rollback of its voluntary output cuts. While the group may pause further increases afterwards, it has retained flexibility to adjust production policy depending on market conditions.
- August 18 — July industrial production data and the API weekly US crude oil inventory report.
- August 19 — US crude oil inventories, Cushing crude oil inventories, and the FOMC minutes.
- August 20 — Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug).
- August 21 — Preliminary August manufacturing and services PMI data and the Baker Hughes Rig Count.
Price Analysis and Forecasting Methodology
Our daily Oil price analysis and forecasting methodology includes:
- Analysis of fundamental factors and expert opinions influencing USCrude short-term price movements.
- Technical analysis of the asset’s charts from H1 to H4 time frames, including identification of key support and resistance levels, examination of technical indicators, and study of candlestick and chart patterns.
- Assessment of market sentiment through the analysis of posts and comments on social media, offering insights into the oil price’s next move.
Oil (USCrude) Price Forecast FAQs
Price chart of USCRUDE in real time mode
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