GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 02.10.26–09.10.26

October 2, 2026 3:23 pm

The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.3308 with a target of 1.2938–1.2745. A sell signal: the price holds below 1.3308. Stop Loss: above 1.3355, Take Profit: 1.2938–1.2745.
  • Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.3308 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.3560–1.3675. A buy signal: the level of 1.3308 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 1.3265, Take Profit: 1.3560–1.3675.

Main Scenario

Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.3308 with a target of 1.2938–1.2745.

Alternative Scenario

Breakout and consolidation above 1.3308 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.3560–1.3675.

Analysis

On the weekly time frame, an ascending wave of larger degree (A) of B is developing. Within it, wave 1 of (A) has formed, a downward correction has been completed as wave 2 of (A), and the third wave 3 of (А) is unfolding. Apparently, the first wave of smaller degree i of 3 has formed and corrective wave ii of 3 is developing on the daily chart. Wave (c) of ii is forming on the H4 chart, with wave iii of (c) still developing as part of its structure. If the presumption is correct, GBP/USD will continue to decline to the levels of 1.2938–1.2745. The level of 1.3308 is critical in this scenario as a breakout above it will enable the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.3560–1.3675.




This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time. 

Price chart of GBPUSD in real time mode

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