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Blowout US jobs report hands Fed hawks something to chew on
This is a blowout US jobs report that firmly hands the hawks on the FOMC something to chew on.
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USD/CAD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.3945 with a target of 1.3548–1.3400. A sell signal: the price holds below 1.3945. Stop Loss: above 1.3985, Take Profit: 1.3548–1.3400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.3945 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.4085–1.4250. A buy signal: the level of 1.3945 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 1.3905, Take Profit: 1.4085–1.4250. Main Scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.3945 with a target of 1.3548–1.3400. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation above 1.3945 will… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 1.3470 with a target of 1.3870–1.4140. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.3470. Stop Loss: below 1.3425, Take Profit: 1.3870–1.4140. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 1.3470 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3275–1.3140. A sell signal: the level of 1.3470 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.3515, Take Profit: 1.3275–1.3140. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 1.3470 with a target of 1.3870–1.4140. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 1.3470 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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WTI Crude Oil: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 79.00 with a target of 105.17–115.50. A buy signal: the price holds above 79.00. Stop Loss: below 77.50, Take Profit: 105.17–115.50. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 79.00 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 67.00–58.50. A sell signal: the level of 79.00 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 80.50, Take Profit: 67.00–58.50. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 79.00 with a target of 105.17–115.50. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 79.00 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 4,282.50 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 4,282.50. Stop Loss: below 4,215.00, Take Profit: 4,900.00–5,610.00. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 4,282.50 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 4,003.25–3,720.00. A sell signal: the level of 4,282.50 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 4,350.00, Take Profit: 4,003.25–3,720.00. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 4,282.50 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 4,282.50 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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USD/JPY: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 160.38 with a target of 151.76–148.92. A sell signal: the price holds below 160.38. Stop Loss: above 161.00, Take Profit: 151.76–148.92. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 160.38 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 163.90–166.50. A buy signal: the level of 160.38 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 159.80, Take Profit: 163.90–166.50. Main Scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 160.38 with a target of 151.76–148.92. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation above 160.38 will… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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USD/CHF: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 04.09.26–11.09.26
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 0.7948 with a target of 0.8204–0.8400. A buy signal: the price holds above 0.7948. Stop Loss: below 0.7910, Take Profit: 0.8204–0.8400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 0.7948 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 0.7755–0.7593. A sell signal: the level of 0.7948 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 0.7985, Take Profit: 0.7755–0.7593. Main Scenario Consider long positions from corrections above 0.7948 with a target of 0.8204–0.8400. Alternative Scenario Breakout and consolidation below 0.7948 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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Gold Has the Market on Its Side. Forecast as of 04.09.2026
Speculators are increasing their long positions, retail investors are boosting their ETF holdings, and central banks are adding to their gold reserves. Against this backdrop, buying the dip is becoming the best strategy for XAU/USD. The NFP report may provide an opportunity to put this strategy into action. Let’s discuss this topic and outline a trading plan. Major Takeaways The precious metal is sensitive to market confidence in the Fed. Central banks continue to buy gold. Asset managers are increasing their long positions in gold. Weak NFP data would provide an opportunity to add to XAU/USD purchases. Fundamental Forecast for… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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United States Dollar Index edges higher to near 99.00 ahead of US NFP data
The US Dollar (USD) is marginally up on Friday ahead of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for August, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.
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Japanese Yen: Sharp rebound and Fed repricing – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan highlights a sharp strengthening in the Japanese Yen, with USD/JPY dropping from 160 to around 155.30 as the Dollar broadly weakened and Asian FX gained.
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Canadian Dollar: Data volatility guides Bank of Canada – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analysts Norman Liebke and Michael Pfister report that the Bank of Canada kept its policy rate at 2.25% but adopted a more hawkish tone as inflation risks rise from higher energy prices and trade tensions with the US.
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BoE’s Bailey defends central bank flexibility, warns of bond market pressures
Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said on Friday that monetary policymakers have some discretion over how quickly they bring inflation back to target, while stressing that returning inflation to the target remains imperative.
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