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GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 25.04.25 – 02.05.25

GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 25.04.25 – 02.05.25

Major Takeaways Main scenario: Once the correction ends, consider long positions above the level of 1.2605 with a target of 1.3750 – 1.4000. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.2605. Stop Loss: below 1.2550, Take Profit: 1.3750 – 1.4000. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.2605 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.2342 – 1.2100. A sell signal: the level of 1.2605 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.2660, Take Profit: 1.2342 – 1.2100. Main Scenario Consider long positions above the level of 1.2605 with a target of 1.3750… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance

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USD/JPY: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 25.04.25 – 02.05.25

USD/JPY: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 25.04.25 – 02.05.25

Major Takeaways Main scenario: Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 148.15 with a target of 138.65 – 131.50. A sell signal: the level of 148.15 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 149.20, Take Profit: 138.65 – 131.50. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 148.15 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 151.32 – 154.70. A buy signal: the level of 148.15 is broken to the upside. Stop Loss: below 147.00, Take Profit: 151.32 – 154.70. Main Scenario Consider short positions from corrections below the level of 148.15 with… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance

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The Challenge from Crypto Exchange Is Here: Can FX and CFDs Brokers Survive?

The Challenge from Crypto Exchange Is Here: Can FX and CFDs Brokers Survive?

Crypto exchanges aren’t coming for the FX and contracts for differences (CFDs) CFDs brokers—they’re already here. And they’re not dipping their toes into traditional finance—they’re coming for it all.

With regulation, tech, capital, and global user bases behind them, they’re building the future while most FX and CFD brokers are still clinging to the past.

The Intentions of Crypto Exchanges — And Why They’ll Win

Crypto exchanges are no longer satisfied with offering just crypto. Their playbook is becoming crystal clear:

•Acquire regulatory licenses (MiFID II, etc.) to enter the TradFi framework

•Start with institutions—futures, options, and CLOBs—where they already have a structural edge

•Expand into retail once trust and regulatory coverage are secured

•Offer multi-asset trading (crypto, FX, equities, commodities) from one unified wallet

Coinbase, Kraken, and OKX have already secured MiFID II licenses to cooperate in the European Economic Area. Kraken also acquired NinjaTrader, a regulated US futures broker, and even recently launched FX perpetual contracts.

They’re regulated, capitalised, tech-native, and serving tens of millions of users globally. When they arrive at full scale in TradFi, most traditional brokers won’t be able to compete. Because these crypto exchanges understand tech, UX, branding, and community in ways most brokers simply don’t. They move faster, scale faster, and build better. And they’re playing a different game entirely.

FX & CFD Brokers: Three Types, Three Fates

Based on the traits, legacy FX and CFDs brokers can be categorised into three types: the deniers, the opportunists, and “eToro”.

Type 1: The Deniers

These brokers still view crypto as a secondary or “too risky” product. They’re wrong.

As user behaviour shifts toward 24/7, mobile-first, high-frequency trading, ignoring crypto means bleeding relevance. Worse, many in TradFi still believe that their experience gives them automatic legitimacy.

Meanwhile, crypto-native platforms are onboarding millions and outpacing them financially. Credibility today doesn’t come from your résumé. It comes from your user base. And the biggest thing standing in the way of TradFi adapting? Ego.

After 17+ years in FX and CFDs, and speaking to brokers daily, one thing is clear: most have no real understanding of what a Web3 ecosystem or user experience looks like. The crypto world plays by entirely different rules—from how products are built to how growth is driven.

But to truly understand it, you have to learn from the people building it—and that’s where the friction starts. It means listening to 23-year-olds who live in Discord, run DAOs, and launch six-figure meme-driven marketing campaigns before finishing university.

For many TradFi executives, those people look like a joke—green hair, hoodies, maybe younger than their own kids. And that’s the problem – not tech, regulation, or strategy. Ego is the real obstacle. And it’s the reason most will fall behind.

Type 2: The Opportunists

These brokers see crypto as a growth hack—cheap payment rails, fast onboarding, and a way to reach markets previously blocked by monetary controls. They’re half right.

Crypto can be a powerful acquisition engine and a bridge into the Web3-native world.

But Web3 users don’t want a traditional broker with a “crypto tab.” They want a real crypto experience—an ecosystem with transparency, ownership, and community. Tacking crypto onto a legacy platform without adopting Web3 values and UX won’t cut it.

To win over this generation, you have to build for them, not sell to them.

Type 3: The (Only) Case

There’s only one real standout here: eToro. They made the leap early—not by offering crypto as a feature, but by embedding it into the core of their platform. And it paid off.

In 2024, eToro reported:

•$931 million in total commissions

•38% of that—around $354 million—from crypto alone

•A net profit of $192 million, up from just $15.3 million the year before

No other traditional broker has successfully made that leap.

The MetaQuotes Bottleneck

The FX and CFD space has become a sea of sameness. 99% of brokers still rely on MetaQuotes (MT4/MT5)—delivering nearly identical products, pricing, and UX. This overdependence has created an overcrowded market with minimal differentiation and cutthroat pricing wars.

Worse yet, MetaQuotes is fundamentally unfit for crypto. MetaTrader platforms do not support wallet integration, and they have neither blockchain connectivity nor Web3 compatibility.

For MetaQuotes-dependent brokers, pivoting to crypto isn’t a tweak—it’s a full rebuild.

And in a market that rewards speed and agility, that’s a steep hill to climb.

You may also like: Brokers Are Leaving MetaTrader Behind When Integrating TradingView: Here’s Why

The Lesson?

Crypto is no longer just a product. It’s the infrastructure. It’s the distribution. It’s the future of finance. And the window for FX and CFD brokers to catch up is closing—fast.

Because once crypto exchanges fully set their sights on TradFi mass retail, 80% of brokers in this space won’t survive.

If they want to survive, they must:

1.Launch and integrate crypto offerings.

2.Build the full crypto ecosystem.

3.Kill the ego—learn from the new generation, not the old guard.

My previous experiences in the professional world taught me not to make the mistake of thinking that coming from TradFi made me “legit,” but it doesn’t. In Web3, that background might even work against you. Because it’s not TradFi entering crypto—it’s crypto taking over finance. And if you’re not awake to that shift, you won’t just fall behind—you’ll be eaten alive.

This article was written by Ilies Larbi at www.financemagnates.com.

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France April business confidence 96 vs 97 prior

France April business confidence 96 vs 97 prior

  • Prior 97
  • Manufacturing confidence 99
  • Prior 96
  • Services confidence 98
  • Prior 97

Despite an improvement in both industry and services sentiment, the French business climate remains gloomy in April as retail trade conditions worsened. Some good news is that the employment climate indicator is also seen improving slightly – up to 97 from 96 in March.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 25.04.2025

Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 25.04.2025

I welcome my fellow traders! I have made a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of margin zones methodology and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Yesterday, oil tried to rise after hitting the support (A) 61.68 – 61.38. Major Takeaways USCrude: oil has reached its first bullish target near 63.04. XAUUSD: gold is falling within a short-term downtrend. EURUSD: the euro is testing the short-term uptrend’s key support 1.1369 – 1.1349. Oil Price Forecast for Today: USCrude Analysis Yesterday, oil attempted to grow after hitting the support… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance

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Tickmill Integrates KYC and AML Tools as Sumsub Expands with Chainalysis

Tickmill Integrates KYC and AML Tools as Sumsub Expands with Chainalysis

Tickmill Ltd has partnered with Sumsub to improve its
onboarding process for new clients. The company has integrated Sumsub’s
verification technology to simplify account activation and reduce wait times in
certain countries.

Sumsub recently formed a partnership with Chainalysis to
offer businesses a combined solution
for Know Your Customer (KYC), Anti-Money
Laundering (AML), and transaction monitoring. The integration aims to provide
automated monitoring, improved fraud detection, and a unified dashboard for
managing compliance processes.

Sumsub Tools Applied in Tickmill Onboarding

“The Sumsub integration was a natural step in our effort to
simplify and speed up our onboarding process,” said Mariam Dawas, Tickmill’s
Group Head of Back Office.

Tickmill, a broker offering trading in Forex and CFDs, will
use a range of Sumsub tools. These include facial biometric checks, identity
document verification, proof of address verification, and anti-money laundering
screening.

“As the first touchpoint with our clients, it’s important
that activation is fast, seamless and effortless so that they can start trading
without delays. It’s all about a better experience from the very first step,” Dawas
added.

You may find it interesting at FinanceMagnates.com: Tickmill
Integrates Copy Trading Platform of SoFinX
.

New Verification Integration for Broker Compliance

“Our advanced verification tools help brokers like Tickmill
stay ahead of evolving regulatory demands while maximizing conversion rates and
safeguarding traders from digital hazards,” commented Andrew Sever, co-founder
and CEO of Sumsub.

The goal of the integration is to make it easier for new
users to open accounts and begin trading. Tickmill provides access to several
asset classes, such as currencies, commodities, indices, stocks, ETFs, and
cryptocurrencies. The verification tools are designed to support compliance
while speeding up the user registration process.

“What makes this partnership even more meaningful is our
shared vision of building a secure digital future where people from all over
the world can access financial services online with trust and confidence,” Sever
concluded.

This article was written by Tareq Sikder at www.financemagnates.com.

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Gold Technical Analysis – Positive tariff news keeps weighing on the precious metal

Gold Technical Analysis – Positive tariff news keeps weighing on the precious metal

Fundamental
Overview

It looks more and more
likely that gold reached an inflection point this week. The price continues to
edge lower as more and more positive news on the trade front filter through.
Trump delivered some key comments late Tuesday where he not only sounded much
less hawkish on China but also made clear that he had no intention to replace
Fed Chair Powell.

Yesterday, we got a report
saying that the first trade deal is very near and it will likely be with India.
Moreover, the first deal will be the baseline for other deals, so the market
will build future expectations from the first deal. This morning, we got a
positive news from China as the government is said to be considering suspending
the 125% tariff on some US imports.

The stagflationary pricing
got gold to such high prices, and as we start to price out that risk, it’s
normal to see a correction, especially considering that “long gold” has been
the most crowded trade.

In the bigger picture, gold
remains in an uptrend as real yields will likely continue to fall amid Fed
easing. But in the short-term more positive news on the tariffs front should see
more downside for gold as the market readjusts to new conditions.

Gold
Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe

On the daily chart, we can
see that gold continues to edge lower as the market prices out some of the
stagflationary risks. From a risk management perspective, the buyers will have
a better risk to reward setup around the previous high at 3167 to position for
further upside, while the sellers will look for a break lower to increase the
bearish bets into the major trendline around the 3100 level.

Gold Technical Analysis
– 4 hour Timeframe

On the 4 hour chart, we can
see that the price is testing again the swing low around the 3284 level. This is where the buyers stepped in with a defined risk below the level to position for a rally into
new all-time highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price
breaking lower to increase the bearish bets into the 3167 level next.

Gold Technical Analysis
– 1 hour Timeframe

On the 1 hour chart, there’s not much else we
can add here as the buyers will target a bounce into the 3367 resistance, while
the sellers will look for a break below the 3285 level. The red lines define the
average daily range for today.

Upcoming
Catalysts

Today we have just the final University of
Michigan Consumer Sentiment report. As a reminder though, the market is focused
on tariff related news at the moment, so the data is not as market-moving as it
used to be in the past months.

Watch the video below

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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China Foreign Ministry: China and US are not having any consultations or negotiations

China Foreign Ministry: China and US are not having any consultations or negotiations

  • China and US are not having any consultations or negotiations on tariffs.
  • On tariff exemptions on some goods: I’m not familiar with specifics, I refer you to competent authorities.

Just yesterday, Trump said that they had a meeting with China in the morning. According to the Chinese, he’s not telling the truth. The market is erasing some of the gains built on previous optimism following these comments.

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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