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MoneyMaker FX EA Trading Robot님의 실시간 스트림

MoneyMaker FX EA Trading Robot님의 실시간 스트림

September 24, 2022 3:49 pm |

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HSBC says the ECB could shy away from rate cuts even if the euro keeps strengthening

HSBC says the ECB could shy away from rate cuts even if the euro keeps strengthening

July 11, 2025 12:58 am |

HSBC economists say that the European Central Bank is likely to proceed cautiously with further rate cuts, even though the euro’s recent strength could push inflation below the ECB’s 2% target, citing:

  • due to the delayed effects of monetary policy, the ECB may choose to overlook short-term currency fluctuations
  • while the euro has risen sharply against the dollar, its overall trade-weighted appreciation has been more moderate
  • ECB June meeting minutes highlighted that eurozone businesses have faced profit margin pressures. These firms might take advantage of the stronger euro to restore margins instead of lowering prices for consumers
  • any inflation-dampening effect from the stronger euro could be countered by looser fiscal policy in Europe

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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European Commission preparing floating oil price cap on Russia, starting at $45

European Commission preparing floating oil price cap on Russia, starting at $45

July 11, 2025 12:50 am |

The European Commission is preparing to propose a floating price cap on Russian oil as part of its 18th sanctions package, aiming to adjust the cap in line with global oil price changes.

  • The new mechanism is being drafted after earlier proposals to lower the G7-imposed $60 per barrel cap to $45 met resistance from some member states and failed to gain U.S. support.
  • The floating cap would be reviewed more automatically and could start slightly above $45, though details are still under discussion.
  • The move comes amid concerns that the fixed cap has become ineffective due to falling oil prices.
  • Shipping-dependent countries like Greece, Cyprus, and Malta remain cautious, worried the measure could harm their maritime industries if businesses shift outside the EU.

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The background to this is that the original cap, set in 2022, bans tanker-based trade, insurance, and other services for Russian oil sold above the set limit. While some U.S. officials remain unconvinced about lowering the cap, momentum may build in Washington, especially as Trump signals a tougher stance on Russia and some U.S. senators express support for stricter measures.

Even if consensus is reached on the new price cap mechanism, Slovakia continues to oppose the broader sanctions package, citing concerns over the EU’s plan to fully phase out Russian energy imports by 2027. As EU sanctions require unanimous approval, this remains a key obstacle.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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New Zealand June manufacturing PMI 48.8 (up from prior 47.5)

New Zealand June manufacturing PMI 48.8 (up from prior 47.5)

July 11, 2025 12:07 am |

BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

Still in contraction at 48.8 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining)

  • up from 47.4 in May

The long run average for the survey is 52.5.

BusinessNZ’s Director, Advocacy Catherine Beard:

  • manufacturers struggling to see expansion in most elements of their business
  • four of the five main sub-index values were in decline
  • manufacturers report a major slowdown due to weak consumer demand, high living costs, and economic uncertainty
  • falling construction activity, rising input costs, and global instability are reducing orders and cashflow, while supply chain issues add further pressure

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel:

  • “looking across the PMI sub-indices, they all remain well below their historical averages. Despite talk of an economic recovery, conditions are still very tough”

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Earlier this week the Reserve Bank of New Zealand left its cash rate target unchanged, and indicated that if inflaiton driops lwoer they’d lower rates:

Reserve Bank of New Zealand next meet on August 20.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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Hassett says next Fed Chair should review the central bank’s overall size and structure

Hassett says next Fed Chair should review the central bank’s overall size and structure

July 10, 2025 11:02 pm |

White House senior adviser Kevin Hassett criticised the Federal Reserve for not adequately explaining its past policy errors and raised concerns about its independence.

In a Fox Business interview, he said the next Fed Chair should consider reviewing the central bank’s overall size and structure. His remarks highlight increasing political pressure on the Fed and its decision-making.

  • said the Federal Reserve should be more transparent about how it makes policy decisions and urged it to release its internal models, particularly those related to tariffs
  • called it “disappointing” that the Fed hasn’t made its tariff impact model public, stressing that transparency is crucial amid the ongoing economic debate over trade policy.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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