EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 30.01.26–06.02.26

February 3, 2026 9:11 pm

The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.1575 with a target of 1.2400–1.2750. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.1575. Stop Loss: below 1.1575, Take Profit: 1.2400–1.2750.
  • Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.1575 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 1.1254–1.1040. A sell signal: the level of 1.1575 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.1575, Take Profit: 1.1254–1.1040.

Main Scenario

Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.1575 with a target of 1.2400–1.2750.

Alternative Scenario

Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.1575 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.1254–1.1040.

Analysis

On the weekly time frame, an ascending wave of larger degree B is developing, with wave (A) of B forming as its part. On the daily time frame, the third wave 3 of (A) is apparently unfolding. Within it, wave i of 3 has formed and a local corrective wave ii of 3 is completed. Wave iii of 3 has presumably started to develop on the H4 time frame, with wave (i) of iii forming as its part. If the presumption is correct, EUR/USD will continue to rise to the levels of 1.2400–1.2750. The level of 1.1575 is critical in this scenario. A breakout below it will allow the pair to continue falling to the levels of 1.1254–1.1040.




This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time.

Price chart of EURUSD in real time mode

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