Event Guide: RBA Monetary Policy Statement (May 2026)

May 4, 2026 5:45 am

The Iran war has kept crude oil above $100 a barrel since late February, pushing Australian headline inflation to its highest level since 2023 and forcing the RBA’s hand into a tightening cycle it spent most of last year reversing. With a third consecutive hike widely expected on May 5, the real question is whether Governor Bullock’s press conference hardens the path forward or opens the door to a pause. Here’s what traders need to know ahead of the decision:

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