
The GBPUSD has been steadily moving lower in today’s trading. The decline has been fueled by weaker UK economic data and a broader wave of US dollar strength, as markets respond to the inflationary implications of higher U.S. tariffs. Additionally, rising concerns over slower global growth have supported safe-haven flows into the dollar, adding further pressure to the pound.
GBPUSD technicals
Looking at the weekly chart, the USDCAD has dipped into a key swing area dating back to 2016, which spans between 1.3411 and 1.3514. Today’s low reached 1.3495, with a modest bounce currently taking the pair to around 1.3504.
On the hourly chart below, the price decline today has broken below the 61.8% retracement level at 1.3529, moving further away from the 100-hour moving average (blue line). While the pair briefly moved above that moving average yesterday, it quickly reversed lower with momentum, signaling strong selling pressure.
The pair also fell through a swing area between 1.3505 and 1.3514, reaching a session low of 1.3495. These broken levels now act as near-term resistance, and traders will be watching them closely. A move back above 1.3514, and especially the 61.8% level at 1.3529, would be a disappointment for sellers. That retracement level has been tested multiple times this week — including lows on Tuesday and yesterday — and today’s break adds to its technical significance going forward.
That 61.8% area the key area now and going forward. Stay below and more momentum to the downside can be anticipated. Move above and the technicals tilt more to the upside at least in short-term.
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