How Low Can XRP Go? Expert Predicts XRP Price Could Hit 6-Month Lows

April 17, 2025 12:18 pm

XRP price
(XRP) as of today (Thursday), April 17, 2025, is moving below $2.10, continuing
its decline from a $3.4 peak earlier this year. The crypto community is now
abuzz with a prediction from trader Ak47 that XRP could fall to $1.4, a level
last seen in October 2024.

In this
guide, we’ll break down Ak47’s prediction, explore the forces impacting XRP in
2025, and provide actionable insights for retail investors. Combining technical
analysis, market trends, and expert perspectives, we’ll help you understand
XRP’s trajectory and plan your next move.

Ak47’s forecast is grounded in technical analysis, as seen in their chart shared on X. The trader identifies a key order block (OB) at $1.4, a zone of historical liquidity where large players might step in to buy, potentially halting the decline.

“$XRP is likely to hit the OB around $1.4 and then from there I’ll go long ,” Ak47 posted on April 8, 2025, alongside a chart highlighting an order block at $1.4. This bearish call raises critical questions: How low can XRP go? What’s driving this potential drop? And how can retail investors navigate the volatility?

His analysis points to several factors:

  • Technical Breakdown: Ak47’s chart shows XRP breaking below a “CHOCH” (Change of Character)
    on the daily timeframe, signaling a bearish shift. The price has already fallen
    from $2.5 to $1.9, with $1.4 as the next significant support.
  • Market Sentiment: Ak47’s decision to “go long” at $1.4 suggests confidence in a rebound, but the drop to that level reflects broader market weakness. “This is a high-probability setup for a swing low,” they implied through their chart annotations.
  • Historical Patterns: XRP’s price action mirrors past corrections. In 2022, XRP dropped 60% from its highs during a market-wide selloff, and a similar move from $2.5 to $1.4 would be a 44% decline—steep but not unprecedented.

XRP Price Is Going Up
Today

On
Thursday, April 17, 2025, XRP is up 0.7% and testing the $2.09 level. According
to CoinMarketCap data, the 24-hour gain stands at 1.51%, while the token’s
total market capitalization has risen to $122 billion, with daily trading
volume at $3.08 billion.

How much is XRP today? Source: CoinMarketCap.com

The price
is currently trading just above the key psychological support at $2.00.
However, according to an analyst on X, XRP may soon drop well below that level.

This is where XRP could fall, according to Ak47. Source: TradingView.com

You may also like: How Low Can Bitcoin Go? This Expert Predicts BTC Price Drop to $10,000

Why Is XRP Going Down in
2025? Economic Pressures and Market Dynamics

XRP’s
struggles in 2025 stem from a mix of macroeconomic challenges and
crypto-specific headwinds. Here’s a closer look at the drivers, with insights
for retail investors.

Paul Howard, Wincent

“The
movement correlates with the ongoing tariff turmoil in particular with China/US
macro relations and risk assets, not isolated to digital assets,” said Paul
Howard, Senior Director at Wincent.

“On positives,
the Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott said crypto legislation will pass by August,
and NY State introduced a bill to accept cryptocurrencies as a form of payment.
Take the macro book out the picture and we’re continuing to see sideways
movement in digital assets this week,” he added.

Global Risk-Off Sentiment

Global
markets are in a risk-off mode, with equities like the S&P 500 down 6% from
their 2025 highs. Altcoins like XRP, often correlated with Bitcoin and equity
trends, are feeling the pressure.

Regulatory Uncertainty

Despite
Ripple’s legal wins against the SEC in 2023, regulatory uncertainty persists.
New U.S. policies under President Trump, including potential crypto
regulations, are creating hesitation.

Liquidity Squeeze

The Federal
Reserve’s inability to ease monetary policy in 2025—due to lingering
inflation—limits market liquidity. Unlike 2020, when stimulus fueled crypto
rallies, XRP lacks a similar catalyst. Retail investors expecting a quick
rebound may need to adjust expectations.

Crypto Market Saturation

The altcoin
market is overcrowded, with thousands of tokens competing for attention. XRP’s
market cap ranking has slipped as newer projects gain traction.

Flight to Safe Havens

Gold’s 16%
surge in 2025 reflects a shift to traditional safe havens
. Investors who viewed
XRP as a hedge against inflation are reconsidering, adding downward pressure.
Retail investors might pivot to assets like gold, exacerbating XRP’s decline.

How Low Can XRP Go?
Historical Context and Technical Analysis

Ak47’s $1.4
prediction aligns with XRP’s historical volatility . XRP has seen sharp
corrections before:

  • 2018: A 90% drop from $3.84 to $0.30.
  • 2022: A 60% decline from $1.96 to $0.32 post-FTX collapse.

A 44% drop
from $2.5 to $1.4 fits this pattern, though it’s milder than past crashes.

What does
the technical analysis say? Based on my review of the XRP/USDT chart, the token
continues to hover above the psychological $2.00 support. Although this level
was briefly breached earlier in April, the price managed to recover and move
back above it. This zone may prove critical in determining whether Ak47’s
projection materializes. As long as XRP stays above this threshold, it suggests
that the bulls haven’t made their final move.

XRP also
remains within a downward-sloping regression channel, which could limit
stronger price rallies in the coming weeks.

XRP/USDT technical analysis. Source: TradingView.com

In one
of my earlier articles, I identified the key support and resistance levels
currently shaping the XRP chart.

  • Support: $1.77
    – Reflects the February and April 2025 lows, serving as a crucial base in
    recent price activity.
  • Support: $2.00
    – A psychological barrier tested in December 2024 and active again during
    February–March 2025.
  • Resistance: $2.52 – Marks the upper limit of a bearish regression channel and acts as a
    short-term upside target.
  • Resistance: $2.59 – Aligns with local highs from mid-March 2025, positioned near the top
    of the channel.
  • Resistance: $2.87–$2.99 – A key zone defined by peak levels reached in December 2024 and March
    2025.
  • Resistance: $3.40 – Represents the 2025 high to date, acting as the primary ceiling for
    bullish momentum.

Why XRP Might Hold Up?

Not
everyone is bearish on XRP. Optimistic analysts see a potential rebound in
2025, driven by Ripple’s growing adoption in cross-border payments,
institutional interest, and a favorable macro environment later in the year.
Below is a list of bullish XRP price predictions for 2025, contrasting Ak47’s
view:

  • Standard Chartered projects
    XRP to reach $5.50 in 2025, followed by $8.00 in 2026, $10.40 in 2027, and
    $12.50 by 2028
    . Their outlook is driven by expectations of ETF inflows,
    clearer regulatory frameworks, and rising demand for XRP in cross-border
    payments.
  • CoinPedia offers a similar trajectory,
    forecasting $5.81 in 2025 and $8.60 in 2026. Their optimism is based on
    RippleNet’s increasing adoption, particularly by banks across Asia and Latin
    America, which are turning to XRP to improve liquidity and settlement efficiency.
  • Changelly takes a more cautious view,
    predicting $2.05 for 2025 and a longer-term target of $7.10 in 2028. Their
    conservative estimate reflects ongoing macro uncertainty, market volatility,
    and slower institutional engagement.
  • Egrag
    Crypto
    issues the
    most aggressive forecast, calling for XRP to hit $17.00 in 2025. This is rooted
    in technical analysis, particularly a projected breakout above the $3.40
    resistance, which Egrag sees as a catalyst for explosive upside.

These
forecasts rely on Ripple’s fundamentals, such as its role in global finance and
potential regulatory tailwinds. While Ak47 sees a dip, bulls argue XRP’s
utility and adoption could drive a recovery.

XRP News, FAQ

How low is XRP expected to
go?

Trader Ak47
predicts XRP could drop to $1.4, a 33% decline from its current $2.10 price,
aligning with a key order block support level last seen in October 2024. This
forecast is based on technical analysis showing a bearish shift, with
historical corrections supporting a potential 44% drop from $2.5, though $1.4
is considered a plausible floor where buyers may step in.

Could XRP reach $20?

Yes,
however, the most bullish 2025 prediction from Egrag Crypto forecasts XRP
reaching $17.00, driven by a technical breakout above $3.40. A $20 price would
require a 952% increase from $2.10, which, though not impossible given XRP’s
historical volatility (e.g., its 2017–2018 rally), is beyond current
projections and would likely need significant catalysts like widespread
adoption or a major market bull run.

Will XRP hit $5?

Yes, some
analysts are optimistic about XRP reaching $5 in 2025. Standard Chartered
predicts $5.50, and CoinPedia forecasts $5.81, citing Ripple’s growing role in
cross-border payments, ETF inflows, and regulatory clarity. These projections
contrast with Ak47’s bearish $1.4 call, suggesting a potential recovery if
macroeconomic conditions improve and Ripple’s fundamentals strengthen.

Will XRP hit $1000?

Even the
most bullish prediction (Egrag Crypto’s $17.00) is far below this level. A
$1000 price would imply a 47,519% increase from $2.10, requiring unprecedented
market dynamics, adoption, and supply changes (XRP’s circulating supply is ~56
billion). Such a target is highly speculative and not grounded in the article’s
forecasts

XRP price
(XRP) as of today (Thursday), April 17, 2025, is moving below $2.10, continuing
its decline from a $3.4 peak earlier this year. The crypto community is now
abuzz with a prediction from trader Ak47 that XRP could fall to $1.4, a level
last seen in October 2024.

In this
guide, we’ll break down Ak47’s prediction, explore the forces impacting XRP in
2025, and provide actionable insights for retail investors. Combining technical
analysis, market trends, and expert perspectives, we’ll help you understand
XRP’s trajectory and plan your next move.

Ak47’s forecast is grounded in technical analysis, as seen in their chart shared on X. The trader identifies a key order block (OB) at $1.4, a zone of historical liquidity where large players might step in to buy, potentially halting the decline.

“$XRP is likely to hit the OB around $1.4 and then from there I’ll go long ,” Ak47 posted on April 8, 2025, alongside a chart highlighting an order block at $1.4. This bearish call raises critical questions: How low can XRP go? What’s driving this potential drop? And how can retail investors navigate the volatility?

His analysis points to several factors:

  • Technical Breakdown: Ak47’s chart shows XRP breaking below a “CHOCH” (Change of Character)
    on the daily timeframe, signaling a bearish shift. The price has already fallen
    from $2.5 to $1.9, with $1.4 as the next significant support.
  • Market Sentiment: Ak47’s decision to “go long” at $1.4 suggests confidence in a rebound, but the drop to that level reflects broader market weakness. “This is a high-probability setup for a swing low,” they implied through their chart annotations.
  • Historical Patterns: XRP’s price action mirrors past corrections. In 2022, XRP dropped 60% from its highs during a market-wide selloff, and a similar move from $2.5 to $1.4 would be a 44% decline—steep but not unprecedented.

XRP Price Is Going Up
Today

On
Thursday, April 17, 2025, XRP is up 0.7% and testing the $2.09 level. According
to CoinMarketCap data, the 24-hour gain stands at 1.51%, while the token’s
total market capitalization has risen to $122 billion, with daily trading
volume at $3.08 billion.

How much is XRP today? Source: CoinMarketCap.com

The price
is currently trading just above the key psychological support at $2.00.
However, according to an analyst on X, XRP may soon drop well below that level.

This is where XRP could fall, according to Ak47. Source: TradingView.com

You may also like: How Low Can Bitcoin Go? This Expert Predicts BTC Price Drop to $10,000

Why Is XRP Going Down in
2025? Economic Pressures and Market Dynamics

XRP’s
struggles in 2025 stem from a mix of macroeconomic challenges and
crypto-specific headwinds. Here’s a closer look at the drivers, with insights
for retail investors.

Paul Howard, Wincent

“The
movement correlates with the ongoing tariff turmoil in particular with China/US
macro relations and risk assets, not isolated to digital assets,” said Paul
Howard, Senior Director at Wincent.

“On positives,
the Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott said crypto legislation will pass by August,
and NY State introduced a bill to accept cryptocurrencies as a form of payment.
Take the macro book out the picture and we’re continuing to see sideways
movement in digital assets this week,” he added.

Global Risk-Off Sentiment

Global
markets are in a risk-off mode, with equities like the S&P 500 down 6% from
their 2025 highs. Altcoins like XRP, often correlated with Bitcoin and equity
trends, are feeling the pressure.

Regulatory Uncertainty

Despite
Ripple’s legal wins against the SEC in 2023, regulatory uncertainty persists.
New U.S. policies under President Trump, including potential crypto
regulations, are creating hesitation.

Liquidity Squeeze

The Federal
Reserve’s inability to ease monetary policy in 2025—due to lingering
inflation—limits market liquidity. Unlike 2020, when stimulus fueled crypto
rallies, XRP lacks a similar catalyst. Retail investors expecting a quick
rebound may need to adjust expectations.

Crypto Market Saturation

The altcoin
market is overcrowded, with thousands of tokens competing for attention. XRP’s
market cap ranking has slipped as newer projects gain traction.

Flight to Safe Havens

Gold’s 16%
surge in 2025 reflects a shift to traditional safe havens
. Investors who viewed
XRP as a hedge against inflation are reconsidering, adding downward pressure.
Retail investors might pivot to assets like gold, exacerbating XRP’s decline.

How Low Can XRP Go?
Historical Context and Technical Analysis

Ak47’s $1.4
prediction aligns with XRP’s historical volatility . XRP has seen sharp
corrections before:

  • 2018: A 90% drop from $3.84 to $0.30.
  • 2022: A 60% decline from $1.96 to $0.32 post-FTX collapse.

A 44% drop
from $2.5 to $1.4 fits this pattern, though it’s milder than past crashes.

What does
the technical analysis say? Based on my review of the XRP/USDT chart, the token
continues to hover above the psychological $2.00 support. Although this level
was briefly breached earlier in April, the price managed to recover and move
back above it. This zone may prove critical in determining whether Ak47’s
projection materializes. As long as XRP stays above this threshold, it suggests
that the bulls haven’t made their final move.

XRP also
remains within a downward-sloping regression channel, which could limit
stronger price rallies in the coming weeks.

XRP/USDT technical analysis. Source: TradingView.com

In one
of my earlier articles, I identified the key support and resistance levels
currently shaping the XRP chart.

  • Support: $1.77
    – Reflects the February and April 2025 lows, serving as a crucial base in
    recent price activity.
  • Support: $2.00
    – A psychological barrier tested in December 2024 and active again during
    February–March 2025.
  • Resistance: $2.52 – Marks the upper limit of a bearish regression channel and acts as a
    short-term upside target.
  • Resistance: $2.59 – Aligns with local highs from mid-March 2025, positioned near the top
    of the channel.
  • Resistance: $2.87–$2.99 – A key zone defined by peak levels reached in December 2024 and March
    2025.
  • Resistance: $3.40 – Represents the 2025 high to date, acting as the primary ceiling for
    bullish momentum.

Why XRP Might Hold Up?

Not
everyone is bearish on XRP. Optimistic analysts see a potential rebound in
2025, driven by Ripple’s growing adoption in cross-border payments,
institutional interest, and a favorable macro environment later in the year.
Below is a list of bullish XRP price predictions for 2025, contrasting Ak47’s
view:

  • Standard Chartered projects
    XRP to reach $5.50 in 2025, followed by $8.00 in 2026, $10.40 in 2027, and
    $12.50 by 2028
    . Their outlook is driven by expectations of ETF inflows,
    clearer regulatory frameworks, and rising demand for XRP in cross-border
    payments.
  • CoinPedia offers a similar trajectory,
    forecasting $5.81 in 2025 and $8.60 in 2026. Their optimism is based on
    RippleNet’s increasing adoption, particularly by banks across Asia and Latin
    America, which are turning to XRP to improve liquidity and settlement efficiency.
  • Changelly takes a more cautious view,
    predicting $2.05 for 2025 and a longer-term target of $7.10 in 2028. Their
    conservative estimate reflects ongoing macro uncertainty, market volatility,
    and slower institutional engagement.
  • Egrag
    Crypto
    issues the
    most aggressive forecast, calling for XRP to hit $17.00 in 2025. This is rooted
    in technical analysis, particularly a projected breakout above the $3.40
    resistance, which Egrag sees as a catalyst for explosive upside.

These
forecasts rely on Ripple’s fundamentals, such as its role in global finance and
potential regulatory tailwinds. While Ak47 sees a dip, bulls argue XRP’s
utility and adoption could drive a recovery.

XRP News, FAQ

How low is XRP expected to
go?

Trader Ak47
predicts XRP could drop to $1.4, a 33% decline from its current $2.10 price,
aligning with a key order block support level last seen in October 2024. This
forecast is based on technical analysis showing a bearish shift, with
historical corrections supporting a potential 44% drop from $2.5, though $1.4
is considered a plausible floor where buyers may step in.

Could XRP reach $20?

Yes,
however, the most bullish 2025 prediction from Egrag Crypto forecasts XRP
reaching $17.00, driven by a technical breakout above $3.40. A $20 price would
require a 952% increase from $2.10, which, though not impossible given XRP’s
historical volatility (e.g., its 2017–2018 rally), is beyond current
projections and would likely need significant catalysts like widespread
adoption or a major market bull run.

Will XRP hit $5?

Yes, some
analysts are optimistic about XRP reaching $5 in 2025. Standard Chartered
predicts $5.50, and CoinPedia forecasts $5.81, citing Ripple’s growing role in
cross-border payments, ETF inflows, and regulatory clarity. These projections
contrast with Ak47’s bearish $1.4 call, suggesting a potential recovery if
macroeconomic conditions improve and Ripple’s fundamentals strengthen.

Will XRP hit $1000?

Even the
most bullish prediction (Egrag Crypto’s $17.00) is far below this level. A
$1000 price would imply a 47,519% increase from $2.10, requiring unprecedented
market dynamics, adoption, and supply changes (XRP’s circulating supply is ~56
billion). Such a target is highly speculative and not grounded in the article’s
forecasts

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