The article covers the following subjects:
Major Takeaways
- Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 87.70 with a target of 105.17–115.50. A buy signal: the price holds above 87.70. Stop Loss: below 86.20, Take Profit: 105.17–115.50.
- Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 87.70 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 79.25–67.00. A sell signal: the level of 87.70 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 89.20, Take Profit: 79.25–67.00.
Main Scenario
Consider long positions from corrections above 87.70 with a target of 105.17–115.50.
Alternative Scenario
Breakout and consolidation below 87.70 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 79.25–67.00.
Analysis
On the weekly chart, a descending correction has likely finished developing as the second wave of larger degree (2) and an ascending third wave (3) is forming. On the daily time frame, the first wave of smaller degree 1 of (3) has apparently formed, a downward correction has been completed as the second wave 2 of (3), and the third wave 3 of (3) is developing, with wave i of 3 unfolding as its part. On the H4 time frame, wave (iii) of i is developing, with a local correction completed as wave iv of (iii) within it. If the presumption is correct, WTI will continue to rise to 105.17–115.50 within wave v of (iii). The level of 87.70 is critical in this scenario as a breakout below it will enable the asset to continue declining to the levels of 79.25–67.00.
This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time.
Price chart of USCRUDE in real time mode
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