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Indonesia: Fiscal slippage keeps bearish bias – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts Kunal Kundu and Galvin Chia say Indonesia’s early‑2026 fiscal deterioration is driven by front‑loaded expenditure, with the primary balance already in deficit and raising financing needs.
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Forex Today: DXY falls after Middle East tensions ease, markets eye US NFP
The US Dollar Index (DXY) slides near the 98.00 area, with limited losses supported by resilient United States (US) data but capped by improving risk sentiment after Axios reported that the US and Iran are moving closer to a deal aimed at ending the conflict.
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Oracle Stock Down 60% From Its Peak. Can the Bloom Energy Deal Trigger a Reversal in ORCL?
Oracle has expanded its partnership with Bloom Energy, securing a supply of up to 2.8 GW of power units for its US data centre projects. For Oracle, the strategic value is clear: faster deployment of AI data centres means a quicker path to monetising the 553 billion USD in contracted backlog that the company has […]
The post Oracle Stock Down 60% From Its Peak. Can the Bloom Energy Deal Trigger a Reversal in ORCL? appeared first at R Blog – RoboForex.
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Carry trade: Profit-taking risk builds into H2 – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that the iFlow Carry index briefly turned negatively significant as investors sold nine of fifteen high-yield currencies, suggesting growing profit-taking after a resilient run.
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WTI Oil slumps on US-Iran diplomatic progress, EIA inventory drawdown
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil tumbles on Wednesday, trading around $92.30 at the time of writing, down 7.62% on the day as investors rapidly unwind geopolitical risk premiums following reports of a potential agreement between Washington and Tehran.
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LatAm: Hedging demand rises with Banxico in focus – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues Latin American FX and equities now represent a single crowded ‘total return’ trade, with all regional currencies still overheld while bond holdings begin to reverse unevenly.
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SEK: Positive real rates support currency outlook – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that USD/SEK has fallen on broad Dollar weakness while Sweden’s April disinflation surprised to the downside, reducing Riksbank hike expectations.
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Fed’s Musalem: inflation is meaningfully above target
Albert Musalem, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of St. Louis, spoke at the Mississippi Bankers Association on Wednesday. He said that uncertainty around tariffs and war are headwind.
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EUR/JPY declines as stronger Yen on intervention risks offsets ECB tightening expectations
EUR/JPY trades around 183.50 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.61% on the day, as the Japanese Yen (JPY) benefits from stronger demand amid fears of intervention by Japanese authorities in the foreign exchange market.
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Gold Prepares for Strong Rally. Forecast as of 06.05.2026
The end of the conflict in the Middle East will turn winners into losers and vice versa. Oil prices risk falling sharply. Gold, on the other hand, will begin to rise slowly but surely as the prospect of Fed rate cuts returns to the forefront. Let’s analyze the situation and make a trading plan for the XAU/USD. Major Takeaways Gold has an inverse correlation with oil. Expectations of a Fed rate cut are supporting XAU/USD quotes. The precious metal’s trajectory depends on geopolitical developments. Long positions can be opened if gold breaks through $4,720. Weekly Fundamental Forecast for Gold Whoever… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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NZD/USD: Market pricing aggressive RBNZ tightening path – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports NZD/USD has rebounded toward 0.6000 on broad US Dollar (USD) weakness, nearly erasing war-related losses. New Zealand’s Q1 labour data were mixed, with softer employment but firm wage growth.
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Fed: Warsh’s policy shift and Dollar outlook – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists Bernd Weidensteiner and Christoph Balz assess how incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh could reshape U.S. monetary policy and its implications for the Dollar.
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