GBP/USD Price Forecast: Declines on disappointing data, tumbles to 1.2500

November 22, 2024 5:05 pm

  • GBP/USD sinks further following poor performances in key UK economic indicators and rising geopolitical concerns.
  • Technical analysis highlights potential for the pair to test significant supports at 1.2445 and possibly the year-to-date low of 1.2299.
  • RSI indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a heavy bearish pressure but not yet at extreme levels.

The Pound Sterling extends its losses against the Greenback for the third straight day, is down 0.47% after UK Flash PMIs and Retail Sales data disappointed investors. This and heightened geopolitical tensions due to Russia-Ukraine and Middle East conflicts, bolstered the American currency. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.2529 after hitting a daily high of 1.2594.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD is trending down, extending its bearish bias. Sellers are eyeing intermediate support at 1.2445, the May 9 swing low. If breached, the pair could refresh year-to-date (YTD) lows of 1.2299, which were hit on April 22.

Indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) turned oversold beneath the 30 level. Nevertheless, it has not reached extreme levels, usually seen in solid trends. In the case of a downtrend, the 20 level would suggest the GBP/USD is oversold.

Conversely, if bulls move in and reclaim 1.2600, look for a test of November’s 20 peaks at 1.2714 as the next resistance. If surpassed, the next stop would be the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2818.

GBP/USD Price Chart – Daily

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.72% 0.63% 0.25% 0.10% 0.25% 0.57% 0.94%
EUR -0.72%   -0.08% -0.45% -0.61% -0.44% -0.14% 0.23%
GBP -0.63% 0.08%   -0.37% -0.53% -0.38% -0.06% 0.31%
JPY -0.25% 0.45% 0.37%   -0.15% 0.00% 0.31% 0.69%
CAD -0.10% 0.61% 0.53% 0.15%   0.14% 0.47% 0.84%
AUD -0.25% 0.44% 0.38% 0.00% -0.14%   0.33% 0.72%
NZD -0.57% 0.14% 0.06% -0.31% -0.47% -0.33%   0.36%
CHF -0.94% -0.23% -0.31% -0.69% -0.84% -0.72% -0.36%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

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