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FX option expiries for 9 July 10am New York cut
There is just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.
As mentioned yesterday, it’s the one for EUR/USD at the 1.1700 mark. With the dollar keeping firmer so far on the week, the expiries here are now playing a role in helping to limit downside for the pair.
It’s all about trade headlines and dollar sentiment seems to be reacting to some concern that Trump might actually follow through on his latest tariff threats this time around. The next deadline set is for 1 August and are we going to see another TACO moment eventually?
For now, markets are reacting more modestly in considering that possibility alongside the “what if” should Trump actually pushes forward with the tariffs.
There will still be large expiries for EUR/USD at the 1.1700 mark for Thursday and Friday as well. So, just take note of that when deciphering the price action for the pair in the day to come.
For more information on how to use this data, you may refer to this post here.
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
Feed from Forexlive.com
Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) leaves rates unchanged, as expected
Reserve Bank of New Zealand
- If medium-term inflation pressures continue to ease as projected, thecommittee expects to lower the official cash rate furthe
- Annual consumers price inflation will likely increase towards the top of themonetary Policy Committee’s 1 to 3 percent target band over mid-2025.
- The economic outlook remains highly uncertain
- However, with spare productive capacity in the economy and declining domestic inflationpressures, headline inflation is expected to remain in the band and return toaround 2 percent by early 2026
- Further data on the speed ofNew Zealand’s economic recovery, the persistence of inflation, and the impactsof tariffs will influence the future path of the official cash rate
- Heightened global policy uncertainty Andtariffs are expected to reduce global economic growth
- This will likely slow the pace of New Zealand’s economic recovery, reducing inflation pressures
RBNZ minutes:
- Committee expects to lower the official cash rate further, broadly consistent with the projection outlined in May
- Case for keeping the OCR on hold at this meeting highlighted the elevated level of uncertainty, and the benefits of waiting until August in light of near-term inflation risks
- Committee discussed the options of cutting the OCR by 25 basis points to 3 percent or keeping the OCR on hold at 3.25 percent at this meeting
- Global growth is expected to slow over the second half of 2025, reflecting the uncertain consequences of trade protectionism
- Some members emphasised that further monetary easing in July would provide a guardrail to ensure the recovery of economic activity
- Domestic financial conditions are evolving broadly as expected.
- Risks to the global outlook remain elevated
- Recently announced tariffs could result in higher or lower medium-term inflation pressure for New Zealand than assumed in the central scenario
There is no press conference after this meeting.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
Feed from Forexlive.com
Chart Art: NZD/CAD’s Potential Support Inside a Range
NZD/CAD can’t seem to crack fresh lows as it tests a technical support area! Will this lead to a bounce higher for the pair?
Feed from Babypips.com
USD/CAD trades with positive bias below 1.3700; looks to FOMC minutes for fresh impetus
The USD/CAD pair regains positive traction during the Asian session on Wednesday and climbs to the 1.3700 neighborhood, closer to over a one-week high touched the previous day. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside.
Feed from Fxstreet.com
A quiet one on the agenda in European trading today
It’s all about digesting tariff headlines and for once, the dollar seems to be holding up well. The concern now is that Trump might just really follow through on his latest tariff threats. It’s sort of like the run up to the initial reciprocal tariffs announcement back in April, albeit much more measured this time around.
The changes so far today are light, with the dollar holding steadier in general. EUR/USD is sitting just above 1.1700 with large option expiries at the figure level factoring into play once again. As for USD/JPY, the pair is singing to the tune of bond yields as it now climbs up to 147.00. The near 2% gains so far this week is the best weekly showing for the pair this year but we’re only at the halfway point on the week.
Looking to the session ahead, there won’t be any major releases on the agenda in Europe. So, all eyes will be on trade headlines and Trump’s tariff letters to come. Here’s a catch up of things in case you missed them:
- Trump will impose a 50% tariff on copper imports, prices jump
- More on Trump’s 50% copper tariff rate to hit within just 30 days
- More Trump: We will be announcing semiconductor tariffs
- Trump says releasing tariff details for 7 or more countries Wednesday morning
- Lutnick expects another 15-20 tariff letters to go out over the next two days
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
Feed from Forexlive.com
Australian Dollar extends gains due to RBA Bullock’s warning of inflation risks
The Australian Dollar (AUD) appreciates against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, extending its gains for the second successive session.
Feed from Fxstreet.com
Japanese Yen retains its negative bias; USD/JPY clings to 147.00 amid a firmer USD
The Japanese Yen (JPY) maintains its offered tone through the Asian session on Wednesday, which, along with a broadly firmer US Dollar (USD), assists the USD/JPY pair to stick to intraday gains near the 147.00 round figure.
Feed from Fxstreet.com
Gold price languishes below $3,300, over one-week low ahead of FOMC minutes
Gold price (XAU/USD) touches a one-and-a-half-week low, around the $3,285-3,284 region during the Asian session on Wednesday, and seems vulnerable to slide further.
Feed from Fxstreet.com
NZD Rallies Then Reverses After RBNZ Kept Rates On Hold At 3.25%
As expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept interest rates unchanged at 3.25% in their July meeting. Here’s how NZD pairs reacted.
Feed from Babypips.com
EU reportedly closes in on temporary “framework” agreement with the US
This “deal” of sorts is something similar to the one with the UK, in which the 10% baseline tariffs will continue to be applied. However, unlike the UK, Trump is said to be wanting 17% tariffs on EU agrifood products as well. One of the EU sources noted that: “The UK agreement was better than this. It’s a surprise given how long we have negotiated.”
As things stand, talks between the two sides are continuing but this temporary “framework” agreement is expected some time later this week. For now, some from the EU camp are seeing that being able to hold the US at imposing 10% tariffs as being a “success”. Again, that just speaks to how Trump has managed to hoodwink the world into accepting tariffs as a good thing. Pfft. The full report can be found here (may be gated).
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
Feed from Forexlive.com
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD consolidates near 13-year highs amid tariff tensions
Silver (XAG/USD) is trading near $36.70 on Tuesday, easing slightly on the day but holding firm within a narrow consolidation range. The metal has been hovering near 13-year highs, as markets assess the potential impact of the latest tariff threats by US President Donald Trump.
Feed from Fxstreet.com
Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor (Economic) Hunter speaking soon
Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor (Economic) Hunter is speaking in a webinar at 0530 GMT/0130 US Eastern time.
Its regarding Internship Opportunities at the RBA, which doesn’t sound like it’ll offer too much for traders in terms of policy comments.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
Feed from Forexlive.com