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XRP SEC Legal Battle: Trump’s Potential Impact and 2025 Outlook

XRP SEC Legal Battle: Trump’s Potential Impact and 2025 Outlook

The cryptocurrency landscape stands at a historic
crossroads as the battle between Ripple Labs and the Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC) enters its most critical phase. Since December 2020,
this legal confrontation has shaped the future of digital asset regulation,
with implications reaching far beyond the immediate case. The potential impact
of Donald Trump’s election adds another layer of complexity to an
already intricate situation.

The Evolution of
SEC’s Cryptocurrency Stance

Under SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s leadership,
the commission has maintained an aggressive enforcement approach toward digital
assets. The SEC’s strategy of classifying various cryptocurrencies as
securities has led to numerous enforcement actions against industry players.
This strict interpretation of securities laws has particularly affected the
relationship between Ripple and Coinbase, with many exchanges temporarily
delisting XRP following the initial SEC lawsuit.

The commission’s approach has sparked intense debate
within the crypto community. Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty has
repeatedly challenged the SEC’s interpretation, arguing that XRP functions as a
digital currency rather than a security. This position gained significant
support when Judge Analisa Torres issued her landmark ruling in July
2023.

Landmark Ruling
and Market Impact

The July 2023 decision marked a turning point when the
court ruled that XRP is not a security in retail transactions. This
partial victory resulted in a $125 million civil penalty, significantly
less than the SEC’s initial demands. The ruling’s impact created waves
throughout the crypto market:

Institutional
Interest and Market Evolution

The institutional landscape for XRP has transformed
dramatically since the initial SEC filing. Major financial institutions are no
longer sitting on the sidelines, with Fox Business journalist Eleanor
Terrett reporting unprecedented levels of interest from traditional
finance. Investment firms are particularly drawn to XRP’s potential in
cross-border payments, with transaction volumes reaching historic highs in
Asian markets.

The evolution of institutional involvement extends
beyond simple trading activities. Banks are developing comprehensive blockchain
strategies, incorporating Ripple’s technology into their existing
frameworks. This integration represents a fundamental shift in how traditional
finance views digital assets, with XRP at the forefront of this transformation.

The Trump Factor
and Regulatory Outlook

The potential impact of Donald Trump’s
election on crypto regulation represents a crucial variable in the
market’s future. Industry experts suggest that Trump’s SEC would
likely take a markedly different approach to cryptocurrency oversight. Under a
new administration, the regulatory landscape could shift significantly,
potentially leading to more crypto-friendly policies and reduced enforcement
actions.

Trump’s victory could trigger several significant changes:

  • Regulatory
    Framework Overhaul – The appointment of
    a new SEC Chair would likely lead to a comprehensive review of
    existing crypto regulations. Current enforcement strategies, heavily criticized
    by Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, could see substantial modification under
    new leadership. This potential shift has already influenced market sentiment,
    with institutional investors positioning themselves for possible regulatory
    changes.
  • Enforcement
    Priority Shifts – A new
    administration could fundamentally alter the SEC’s approach to crypto
    enforcement. The current focus on regulatory actions, which has led to numerous
    cases against crypto firms, might give way to a more collaborative approach.
    This shift could particularly benefit companies like Ripple, which have argued
    for clearer regulatory frameworks rather than enforcement-first policies.

Crypto Bull Run
Potential and Market Analysis

The broader crypto market shows strong indicators of
entering a sustained crypto bull run. Bitcoin’s performance
continues to set the pace, with its price movements closely correlated to wider
market sentiment. Ethereum maintains its position as a leading
smart contract platform, while Solana’s technical advancements
demonstrate the ecosystem’s ongoing evolution.

Market Metrics and
Performance

Recent market data reveals compelling trends:

The daily trading volume for XRP has consistently
exceeded $2 billion since the partial court victory. Institutional inflows have
reached unprecedented levels, with major investment firms allocating
significant portions of their portfolios to digital assets. The potential
approval of an XRP ETF could further accelerate this trend,
opening new channels for institutional investment.

Technical Analysis
and Price Projections

Market analysts provide detailed projections based on
technical indicators and fundamental factors. The convergence of legal
developments, political changes, and market dynamics suggests several possible
scenarios for XRP’s price action through 2025.

Short-term Outlook

Technical analysis indicates strong support levels
around key price points, with resistance zones identified through historical
trading patterns. The impact of SEC’s appeal continues to
influence short-term price movements, creating opportunities for both
institutional and retail investors.

Long-term
Projections

Looking ahead to 2025, analysts factor in multiple
variables:

  • Potential resolution of the SEC case under new leadership
  • Increased institutional adoption driving demand
  • Expansion of cross-border payment networks
  • Integration with traditional financial systems

Global Impact and
Cross-Border Adoption

The international response to XRP’s regulatory
challenges has varied significantly by region. Asian markets, particularly
Singapore and Japan, have maintained supportive regulatory environments,
leading to increased adoption rates. European institutions continue to explore
blockchain technology integration, with XRP playing a crucial role in
cross-border payment solutions.

Future of Digital
Asset Regulation

The evolution of crypto regulation extends beyond the
immediate XRP case. Industry participants anticipate significant changes in how
digital assets are classified and regulated. The potential impact of Trump’s
election could accelerate these changes, particularly if new
leadership at the SEC adopts a more favorable stance toward cryptocurrency
innovation.

Latest XRP News
and Price Analysis

The XRP price shows significant potential as
the market digests recent developments. After reaching its highest level
since 2022, analysts suggest the token could soar beyond current
levels. Recent price analysis indicates strong support at key levels,
particularly as crypto enforcement actions create market volatility.

Bitcoin and ETH Market Correlation

Bitcoin news continues to influence the
broader crypto space, with ETH and Solana following
similar patterns. As the market anticipates new ETFs, the correlation
between major cryptocurrencies remains strong. The SEC has previously resisted
various crypto products, but recent developments suggest a potential shift in
approach.

Impact of Trump’s Potential Victory

A Donald Trump’s victory in the US
presidential election could dramatically reshape the regulatory landscape.
Industry experts suggest a Trump’s win might lead to:

  • Reduced enforcement actions
  • New approach to crypto cases
  • Modified stance on exchange-traded products
  • Favorable environment for projects like XRP

Ongoing Legal
Developments

The legal battle continues as Ripple’s appeal
in the ripple case progresses. District Judge Analisa Torres previously ruled
partially in favor of Ripple, requiring the company to Ripple to pay a 125
million penalty. The Securities and Exchange Commission’s stance
under Chair Gary Gensler has faced increasing scrutiny.

Market Entry and
Distribution

As new participants enter the market, XRP
distributions and selling XRP patterns show increasing
institutional interest. The potential for XRP exchange-traded products
could create new opportunities for investors, while blockchain and crypto development
continues to advance.

These additional sections incorporate the remaining
keywords while maintaining coherence with the original article’s structure and
tone.

Conclusion and
Market Outlook

As we approach 2025, the convergence of legal
resolution, political change, and market development suggests a transformative
period for XRP and the broader crypto industry. The outcome of the SEC case,
combined with potential regulatory shifts under new leadership, could
fundamentally reshape the digital asset landscape.

FAQ:

Will the SEC appeal the
XRP decision?

Yes, the
SEC has already filed its appeal on October 17, 2024, challenging aspects of
the July 2023 ruling. The SEC must submit its opening brief by January 15,
2025, with the appeals process expected to continue until mid-2025.

Will XRP reach $2?

According
to various price predictions:

  • Conservative
    estimates suggest XRP could reach $0.63-$0.73 by end of 2024
  • More
    optimistic forecasts indicate $2 is possible in 2025, especially if market
    conditions improve and regulatory clarity emerges
  • Some
    analysts predict even higher targets, though these are considered more
    speculative

How high can XRP
realistically go?

Based on
technical analysis and market predictions:

  • 2024:
    $0.494 to $0.665
  • 2025:
    $0.594 to $2.92
  • 2026: $2.12
    to $4.48
  • 2027: $4.1
    to $9.32

Where will XRP be in 2
years?

By
2025-2026, predictions suggest:

  • Base case:
    $0.52 minimum with potential up to $1.44
  • Average
    expected price: $0.87
  • 強気
    scenario: Potential to reach $2.8 by 2025
  • More
    optimistic forecasts suggest $9 by 2026

Note: These
predictions are based on current market analysis and could change based on
regulatory outcomes, market conditions, and other factors.

This article was written by Damian Chmiel at www.financemagnates.com.

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USD/CAD Price Forecast 6th November 2024

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China October CPI +0.3% y/y (expected +0.4%, prior +0.4%), deflation prospect lingers

China October CPI +0.3% y/y (expected +0.4%, prior +0.4%), deflation prospect lingers

October 2024 CPI rose 0.3% year-on-year, down from 0.4% in September, and below economists’ median expectations of 0.4%:

  • Shows continued weak consumer demand and keeps deflation concerns active. China faced deflation for four months at the end of 2023.

On the PPI:

  • Factory-gate prices -2.9% in October, falling from September’s -2.8% and much worse than economists’ median expectations of -2.5%
  • the deflationary trend in wholesale prices has continued since late 2022

Government Response:

  • Premier Li Qiang expressed confidence in meeting 5% growth target for 2024
  • The background to all this are the economic challenges the country faces:

    • Property crisis persisting, and persisting. This is impacting consumer confidence
    • Slowest economic expansion in 18 months during Q3
    • Potential future concerns about U.S. tariffs under possible Trump presidency
    • There are suggestions, which seem well-founded, that there is need for more consumer-focused stimulus measures. Botyh to boost domestic demand and avoid adding to industry overcapacity pressure, which is contributing to deflaton pressure.

    This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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    The Week’s Snapshot: Donald Trump’s Victory and Crypto, ASIC to Close 95 Firms, and More

    The Week’s Snapshot: Donald Trump’s Victory and Crypto, ASIC to Close 95 Firms, and More

    Trump Victory Ushers In First Bitcoin-Friendly Administration

    In a major development on the world stage this week, Donald Trump won the election, sweeping the Electoral College and the popular vote. There are a huge number of takeaways from this emphatic resolution to a dramatic and unorthodox presidential race, but let’s focus on Bitcoin and blockchains and consider the implications for the crypto industry from this point on.

    From the top, it’s important to note that there has never previously been a presidential campaign that featured crypto as prominently as that just run by Donald Trump. His push for the presidency received advice and backing from David Bailey, the CEO of Bitcoin Magazine. The campaign accepted donations in crypto, and in July, Trump was the headline speaker at the Bitcoin 2024 Conference in Nashville.

    Markets Cheer, Rich Get Richer

    Trump’s election rally boosted markets, enriched billionaires, and sent crypto soaring, revealing his larger-than-life impact on the economy. Wall Street must have cracked open the champagne early. With Trump gearing up for his latest turn in the White House, investors seem to have found a newfound zest, breathing life into a market rally that even the most optimistic brokers probably didn’t pencil in.

    The Dow closed 1,500 points higher on Wednesday following Trump’s win. It’s as if the mere thought of Trump in the White House again has money people digging out their “Make Wall Street Great Again” hats. According to a report, as U.S. Treasury yields climbed, so did investor sentiment, triggering a market rally that defied traditional expectations.

    Capital.com Gains from Index Trading Demand

    Client trading volume on Capital.com skyrocketed to over $450 billion in Q3 2024, which is 20 percent higher than the previous quarter. The volume was $337 billion in Q1, meaning the nine-month trading volume on the platform surpassed last year’s total of $1.2 trillion. The increased trading demand last quarter was driven by strong interest in indices, commodities, and FX markets, the brokerage firm revealed. It further added that index trading accounted for about 53 percent of its total quarterly trading volume.

    “With anticipation for the US presidential elections building in Q3, we’ve seen increased interest in indices and FX pairs, specifically those involving the dollar,” said Daniela Sabin Hathorn, Senior Market Analyst, Capital.com. “The capital injection by China to revive its struggling economy was also a key driver of the momentum in equities throughout September as traders set aside concerns about growth in China.”

    easyMarkets Registers Strong Q3 Results

    easyMarkets posted strong trading volumes for some of its key financial instruments in the third quarter. Among the standout performers were the USDJPY currency pair and NASDAQ’s tech-heavy index. According to the forex trading broker, both indices posted a significant boost as the global market shifted, sparking strong demand from traders.

    Notably, easyMarkets highlighted the surge in trading volume for the USDJPY currency pair in Q3, with an impressive 98% increase compared to the previous quarter. This jump was reportedly driven by increased client interest in Yen pairs, particularly following the Bank of Japan’s decision to raise interest rates for the first time in 17 years.

    55% of Gen Z Discuss Investments with Friends

    A recent survey from eToro shows that Gen Z investors are far more likely than older groups to discuss investments with friends and family. The study, covering 10,000 retail investors across 12 countries, found that 55 percent of Gen Z respondents aged 18 to 27 spoke about their portfolios with friends, and 44 percent shared their investment activities with relatives.

    Among baby boomers aged 60 to 78, only 29 percent had such discussions with friends, and 22 percent with family.This trend extends beyond family circles. Gen Z respondents are more likely than boomers to compare investment strategies with strangers, at 10 percent compared to 4 percent, and colleagues, at 32 percent compared to 15 percent.

    INFINOX Capital Reports Revenue Drop in 2024

    INFINOX Capital Limited released its financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024, reporting a marked improvement in profitability despite a sharp decline in revenue. For the year, the company reported a total turnover of £3.69 million, a drop from £14.63 million in 2023.

    While the decrease in revenue highlights a challenging year, the company’s efforts on cost control and operational efficiency have contributed to a recovery in its financial position.

    BP Prime’s Professional Clients Push FY24 Revenue 7x

    Black Pearl Securities Limited, which operates as BP Prime, reported a turnover of more than £16 million for the fiscal year ending 31 March 2024, compared to the previous fiscal’s £2.3 million—a 595 percent increase.

    In its latest Companies House filing, the FCA-regulated company highlighted that its “institutional product offering to regulated entities and professional clients has been predominantly responsible for driving income.” It also noted that demand for retail products on its platform declined, particularly in account applications, which led to a reduction in profit contribution.

    APM Capital Markets’ Revenue and Profit Decline Ahead of Acquisition

    APM Capital Markets, formerly known as BUX Financial Services, released a strategic report accompanied by a financial report for the fiscal year ended 2023. The company reported declining revenue and profit, citing restricting plans amid the decision to sell the company and other EU-based CFD businesses.

    Revenue declined to £843,938 from 1,523,424 during the same period of 2022, and losses widened to £2,993,957 from £2,259,242 in the same period last year. According to the firm, there was a limited focus on growing the business during this period and a shift to maintaining core operations and regulatory requirements. This also affected the client base.

    Plus500 Is Highly Efficient in Profitability

    When it comes to profitability, the three London-listed retail brokers generally perform well (with only a few exceptions). While IG Group and Plus500 regularly lead in pre-tax profitability with three-digit gains, CMC Markets often has lower figures. IG, with a market cap of £3.2 billion, is the largest of the three forex and contracts for difference brokers.

    It achieved a pre-tax profit of £224.4 million on revenue of £514.7 million in the six months between December 2023 and May 2024, resulting in a profit-to-revenue ratio of 43.6 percent. During IG’s best-performing fiscal six months in the last five years, the first half of FY 2022, the broker achieved a pre-tax profit of £245.2 million, resulting in a profit-to-revenue ratio of over 51.6 percent.

    Unregulated FX Brokers Offer High Leverage and Low Fees

    Unregulated trading venues will never disappear as long as there are traders willing to swap consumer protections for high leverage and lower fees. The challenge for regulated platforms with significant compliance costs is to convince these traders that the risks outweigh the perceived advantages.

    In September, the Foreign Exchange Professionals Association (FXPA) published a white paper on trading venues operating in OTC FX derivatives markets. It cautioned that the benefits of trading on unregulated FX derivatives venues may come at the expense of reduced customer protections.

    Boxing Legend Mike Tyson Becomes NAGA Group’s Brand Ambassador

    NAGA Group AG has appointed boxing legend Mike Tyson as its brand ambassador, marking another entry of a sports personality into the retail trading industry, Finance Magnates has learned. The partnership was officially announced by NAGA’s CEO, Octavian Pătrașcu, who posted about Tyson joining as brand ambassador.

    The partnership was officially announced by NAGA’s CEO, Octavian Pătrașcu, who posted about Tyson joining as brand ambassador. Describing “this latest project with Mike Tyson as next-level,” the CEO further revealed that his team managed to negotiate and sign contracts with Tyson, coordinate with production teams in Los Angeles and New York, and build the entire campaign content in just two weeks.

    Taurex to Launch Proprietary Trading Platform Atmos

    The list of FX and CFD brokers looking to capitalize on the recent popularity of retail proprietary trading continues to grow. Taurex is the latest to join this dominant industry trend with the launch of its own prop platform, Atmos.

    Finance Magnates learned that Taurex is preparing to launch its own prop trading brand. The website atmos.tradetaurex.com is already live and is currently testing ahead of its official platform launch. Users can currently register by providing their name and email address to receive detailed information when the official launch takes place.

    “Consob’s Attention Is Very High,” Says Fintokei’s Italy Manager

    Prop trading brand Fintokei recently expanded its operations into Italy, with its newly appointed Country Manager aiming to acquire 3,000 clients by the end of 2025. According to Marco Martire, the timing for entering one of Europe’s key markets couldn’t be better, especially as the local regulator increasingly scrutinizes the sector.

    Martire shared a social media post addressing the recent Italian debut of Fintokei, a platform with Czech and Japanese roots. This expansion is part of a broader growth strategy by the brand, co-owned by David Varga, who also represents Purple Trading brokerage.

    Indian Regulator Calls Prop Trading Platforms “Unauthorised”

    The Indian regulator overseeing the local securities markets issued an advisory against “apps/web applications/platforms” offering “virtual trading services, paper trading, or fantasy games to the public based on stock price data of listed companies.” Although the agency did not specifically name “prop trading” or funded trading platforms, it clearly indicates such platforms.

    Interestingly, the Indian central bank recently updated its warning list, which contains a long list of contracts for differences (CFDs) brokers, adding the names of a couple of prop trading platforms. While the Reserve Bank of India controls all forex brokers, SEBI regulates the securities market.

    ASIC to Wind Up 95 Financial Services Firms

    Lastly, the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has moved to court to wind up 95 local financial services companies, some of which offered forex and contracts for differences (CFDs) trading services. The industry-specific names include Aximtrade, Vortex Trading, Ridder Trader, and a few others.

    Notably, none of these companies now offer trading services under the Australian Financial Services (AFS) license. In fact, most shuttered firms have entirely closed. The exceptions include Aximtrader, which still offers services outside Australia under a Saint Vincent and the Grenadines license.

    This article was written by Jared Kirui at www.financemagnates.com.

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    Mixed start to the trading day. NASDAQ marginally lower.

    Mixed start to the trading day. NASDAQ marginally lower.

    The US major indices are trading marginally higher to start the final day of the trading week which included a presidential election and Federal Reserve interest rate cut.

    The markets are cheering the Pres. Trump victory with solid gains this week. There may be a little slowing today, but still it is not a bad day.

    • Dow industrial average up 85.10 points or 0.19% at 43814.44
    • S&P index up 8.02 points or 0.13% at 5981.12
    • NASDAQ index is now trading down -15.88 points or -0.08% at 19253.57

    THe small cap Russell 2000 is up 5.14 points or 0.22% at 2387.83

    For the trading week, the gains were led by the Russell 2000 and the Nasdaq index (working on a 3 day win streak)

    • Dow industrial average is up 4.24%
    • S&P index is up 4.47%
    • NASDAQ index is up 5.67%
    • Russell 2000 is up 7.97%

    The US yields are lower today and ironically the 10 year yield is down for the trading week.

    • 2-year yield 4.218%, -0.2 basis points
    • 5-year yield 4.166%, -2.4 basis points
    • 10-year yield 4.300%, -4.3 basis points
    • 30-year yield 4.487%, -5.6 basis points

    A week ago, the 10-year yield closed at 4.38%. The two-year yield is unchanged on the week at 4.21%

    Looking at other markets:

    • Crude oil is trading down $-1.48 and $70.90. For the week the price is up around $2.40
    • Gold is trading down $17 or -0.64% at $2689.07. That is down from a closing level last week at $2735.80
    • Bitcoin is trading at $75,811. Last week, the digital currency closed at $68,738. The digital currency market expect Pres. Trump to be a proponent of Bitcoin (and other digital currencies).

    This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.

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