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European indices close lower on the day

European indices close lower on the day

London/European traders are looking toward the exit with the major indices all falling sharply today. The closing levels show:

  • German DAX, -1.57%
  • France CAC, -1.4%
  • UK FTSE 100 under -1.82%
  • Spain’s Ibex, -1.50%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB, -1.65%

As European traders look to exit, US stocks are trading off of their low levels. Nevertheless, the S&P and NASDAQ index are still down on the day.

  • Dow Industrial Average +130 points or 0.34% at 37862.67. The low price reached 37749.78. UnitedHealth is keeping the Dow up. It is up $27 or 6.01% in trading today.
  • S&P index -5.95 points or -0.11% at 5057. The low price reached 5040.88.
  • NASDAQ index -16 points or -0.10% at 15869. The low price reached 15824.34

The small-cap Russell 2000’s trading down -8.74 points or -0.44% at 1966.97.

US yields are higher and trading closer to the highs for the day:

  • 2-year 4.965%, +2.0 basis points
  • 5-year 4.679%, +3.5 basis points
  • 10-year 4.657%, +2.9 basis points
  • 30-year 4.757%, +1.7 basis points

The price of the crude oil is trading up eight cents or 0.11% at $85.50.

Bitcoin remains under pressure and is trading now below 62,000 at $61,942. The 38.2% retracement of the move-up from the 2024 low comes in at $60,314.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at

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Open Finance: The Nanny State Gets a Fintech Friend?

Open Finance: The Nanny State Gets a Fintech Friend?

Bim Afolami, the UK’s
Economic Secretary to the Treasury, dropped a bombshell recently. Not a
metaphorical one, mind you – those are for politicians with less interesting
pronouncements. No, this was a fintech fragmentation grenade, exploding into a
two-pronged attack on the financial sector. On the one hand, a task force
dedicated to open finance, championed by the Centre for Finance, Innovation and
Technology (CFIT). On the other, a long-awaited set of regulations for the
burgeoning world of cryptocurrency

Let’s unpack this
curious coupling. Open finance, for the uninitiated, is a system where you, the
consumer, get to decide who gets to peek behind the digital curtain of your
bank statements and transaction history. With your permission, of course. It’s
all about empowering you, the data owner, to leverage your financial footprint
for better deals, smoother transactions, and perhaps even a loan or two. Sounds
like a win-win, right? Well, the jury’s still out.

On the surface, the
government’s involvement in open finance seems like a curious case of the nanny
state getting a fintech friend
. Here’s the thing: open finance, in its purest
form, thrives on disruption. It breaks down the traditional power structures of
the financial sector, where banks hoard data like Smaug guarding his gold. This
disruption, however, can be messy. There are security concerns, privacy
worries, and the ever-present gremlins of technical glitches and compatibility

So, where does the
government fit in? Afolami himself addressed this head-on, acknowledging the
limitations of a top-down approach. “Government can only do so much,”
he declared. A refreshing dose of honesty, considering the political tendency to
paint themselves as the sole architects of innovation. His emphasis lies in
creating the right environment, a “payments landscape where open banking
can thrive.” This, he promises, will be achieved through the National
Payments Vision, a document expected by summer.

Now, let’s talk crypto.
The cryptocurrency market, with its dizzying rise and spectacular crashes, has
been a regulatory headache for governments worldwide. The UK’s approach seems
to be one of cautious embrace. Regulations are coming, but they’ll focus on
bringing cryptocurrency activities like exchange operations and customer asset
management “within the regulatory perimeter.” This translates to
creating a framework for responsible innovation, ensuring consumer protection
without stifling the underlying technology.

Is this the perfect
solution? Probably not. But it’s a step in the right direction, acknowledging
the potential of crypto while mitigating the risks.

But back to open
finance. Here’s the real intrigue: can a government initiative truly foster the
kind of disruptive innovation this space needs? Can a task force, however
well-intentioned, predict the unforeseen needs and solutions that will emerge
from a dynamic, market-driven system?

The cynics might scoff,
picturing a room full of bureaucrats wrestling with APIs and data sets. But
perhaps there’s another way to look at it. Maybe the government’s role isn’t to
dictate the future, but to act as a facilitator, a referee in the burgeoning
open finance playground. Setting clear rules, establishing robust security
protocols, and ensuring a level playing field for all players – these are tasks
well-suited for a government with a light touch.

The real fireworks will
happen outside the boardrooms, in the vibrant world of fintech startups and
established financial institutions forced to adapt. This is where the magic
happens, where the true potential of open finance will be unlocked. Think about
it: a world where your financial data, with your consent, unlocks a universe of
personalized financial products and services. A world where small businesses
can secure funding based on a holistic view of their financial health, not just
a static credit score.

This is the future Afolami seems to be hinting at, a future where the government acts as a
catalyst, not a controller. Whether this grand vision translates into reality
remains to be seen. But one thing’s for sure: the UK’s foray into open finance,
coupled with its cautious embrace of cryptocurrency, marks a fascinating
chapter in the ongoing saga of financial innovation. And for those of us who
thrive on disruption, that’s a story worth following.

This article was written by Pedro Ferreira at

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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 growth estimate 2.9% versus 2.8% yesterday

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 growth estimate 2.9% versus 2.8% yesterday

The Atlanta Fed GDPNow growth estimate for Q1 rose to 2.9% from 2.8% yesterday (their most recent report). In their own words:

The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2024 is 2.9 percent on April 16, up from 2.8 percent on April 15. After this morning’s housing starts report from the US Census Bureau and industrial production report from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, the nowcasts of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 3.4 percent and 3.4 percent, respectively, to 3.5 percent and 3.7 percent.

The next Atlanta Fed GDPNow update will be on April 24 which will be the last estimate before the Advanced release of Q1 GDP in the US.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at

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The NZDUSD reaches toward the Asian session low and lowest level since November 2023

The NZDUSD reaches toward the Asian session low and lowest level since November 2023

The NZDUSD has been trending to the downside since last week’s high near 0.6080. The low price today reached 0.5872. That is just above a swing area between 0.5851 and 0.58699.

Support buyers are leaning against the wing area. There is topside resistance near 0.5936 if the buyers can’t stay above the 0.58699 level down to 0.58512.

A move below 0.58512 would open the door toward the October low at 0.57723.

Find out the details of the technicals driving the NZDUSD pair by watching the above video.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at

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Bitcoin Nears Depletion: Only Nine Months’ Supply Ahead of Halving

Bitcoin Nears Depletion: Only Nine Months’ Supply Ahead of Halving

Cryptocurrency exchanges are left with only nine
months’ worth of Bitcoin supply at current prices with only three days
left to Bitcoin halving. According to the latest analysis by Bybit, with just 2 million
bitcoins remaining and a daily inflow of $500 million to Bitcoin Spot ETFs,
approximately 7,142 bitcoins will exit exchange reserves daily.

Bitcoin’s Supply Hits Unprecedented Scarcity

The much-anticipated halving event, which reduces the
supply of Bitcoins by 50%, is expected to make Bitcoin more scarce. Bybit
highlighted the rapid rapid depletion of Bitcoin reserves across centralized
exchanges post-halving. This trend
indicates that it will take about nine months to exhaust all remaining

Ben Joe, the Co-Founder and CEO of Bybit, mentioned: “Each Bitcoin halving sharpens the narrative of Bitcoin as not just a
currency, but a scarce digital asset, akin to digital gold. This upcoming
halving in 2024 will thrust Bitcoin into an era of unprecedented scarcity,
making it twice as rare as gold.”

The report differentiated between Bitcoin and gold,
emphasizing Bitcoin’s increasing rarity post-halving. The Stock-to-Flow (S2F)
ratio, a measure of scarcity, is projected to double from 56 to 112 after the
upcoming halving, surpassing gold’s S2F ratio of 60.

Institutional Adoption of Bitcoin

This comparison solidifies Bitcoin’s status as a
scarce digital asset, positioning it as a viable alternative to traditional
safe havens like gold. Additionally, Bybit highlighted the adoption of
Bitcoin by institutional investors following the recent approval of spot
Bitcoin ETFs in the US.

This trend indicates that institutions have recognized
the importance of Bitcoin as a safe investment option. This has led to
heightened investment activity ahead of the halving event. The correlation between Bitcoin and other
cryptocurrencies remains strong, further cementing Bitcoin’s reputation as the
cryptocurrency with the lowest beta.

This article was written by Jared Kirui at

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