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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD refreshes three-week high, aims to revisit $3,400
Gold price (XAU/USD) posts a fresh three-week high around $3,370 during the European trading session on Monday.
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Trade ideas thread – Tuesday, 15 July, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
Good morning, afternoon and evening all. Any charts, technical analysis, trade ideas, thoughts, views, ForexLive traders would like to share and discuss with fellow ForexLive traders, please do so:
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
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XRP Nears $3: Grayscale Challenges SEC Over Paused Multi-Crypto ETF
As major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and XRP, post
gains today, Grayscale Investments has filed a legal challenge against the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission after the regulator paused approval of its
Digital Large Cap Fund.
The fund, which includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and
Cardano, was initially approved by the SEC’s Division of Trading and Markets
but was later stayed pending an internal review.
XRP Nears Psychological $3 Level
XRP has approached the key psychological level of $3.
According to the H1 XRP/USD chart, the asset opened the day at 1.54350 and
began moving upward from the second hour of trading. Bullish momentum increased
following a breakout above 2.60000.
After a brief pullback, a bullish engulfing candle pushed
the price to 2.980000. As of writing, the price faced strong resistance at the
day’s high. However, current price action suggests another test of the $3 level
may be likely.
Analysts See XRP Retesting $3.40
Market analysts have identified a
symmetrical triangle pattern in XRP’s monthly chart, indicating a possible
breakout. The current consolidation phase has lasted over 330 days, and some
chart watchers suggest a move could occur between July and mid-September, based
on typical pattern resolution timelines.
With recent price momentum, some analysts believe XRP could possibly
retest the earlier high of $3.40, depending on how the pattern develops in the
coming weeks.
You may find it interesting at FinanceMagnates.com: Why
Is Crypto Going Up Today? Bitcoin Hits ATH, XRP at 2-Month High, Ethereum and
Dogecoin Follow.
🚨 Grayscale pushes SEC to lift pause on its multi-crypto ETF.Lawyers call the delay harmful to investors & threaten legal action.The fund includes $BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $ADA, $XRP.Could this unlock the door for $DOGE, $PENGU & others? 👀 pic.twitter.com/Rla1Xr8oac
— CryptoPotato Official (@Crypto_Potato) July 11, 2025
Legal Team Presses for Approval Recognition
Grayscale’s legal team has argued that the approval should
be considered final, as the SEC missed its legal deadline to act. The company
has requested that the SEC recognize the approval as effective and is exploring
legal options to lift the stay and move forward with the fund.
Regulatory Pause May Impact Other Products
The SEC’s pause may delay the launch of similar products,
creating uncertainty around regulated access to digital assets. The case
highlights regulatory challenges for crypto-related funds and may influence
future decisions on digital investment products.
This article was written by Tareq Sikder at www.financemagnates.com.
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“Costs Could Reach 25%”: FMAS:25 Panel Urges Cheaper Cross-Border Solutions for Africa’s $50B Remittances
As Africa races ahead in digital finance, a panel of
speakers gathered at Finance
Magnates Africa Summit 2025 to assess the continent’s trajectory—from
inclusion to innovation. Titled “Pay it Forward: Africa’s Leap Toward Digital
Finance,” the session offered a panoramic view of the region’s payment
progression, framed by both optimism and realism.
Moderated by Hannalie Marsh, Ambassador of Women in Payments
Africa, the discussion featured Gabriel Swanepoel, Country Manager for Southern
Africa at Mastercard. Their message was clear: Africa’s digital moment is now,
but execution must match ambition.
From Access to Impact
The panel opened by examining Africa’s unique demographics,
a youthful population and diverse regulatory patchwork, which together present
both a challenge and a catalyst.
“Convergence is key,” the panel noted, urging a shift in
narrative. “The question is no longer just about smartphone penetration but how
we meet consumers where they are in their daily lives.”
That shift, from infrastructure to impact, was central. Mastercard’s
Mobilizing Access in the Digital Economy (MAiD) initiative was held up as a
working model. Designed to support underserved populations, particularly
smallholder farmers and women entrepreneurs. MAiD links digital identity to a
store of value, turning informal commerce into a trackable, bankable activity.
“By linking digital identity with a store of value, we
enable invisible trade to become visible, opening doors to credit and new
markets,” the panel explained.
Fixing the Pipes: Cross-Border Payments and Remittances
While the discussion acknowledged progress, it also returned
repeatedly to the persistent inefficiencies in cross-border transactions—an
area with more urgency than innovation. Africa receives more than $50 billion
in remittances annually, yet the cost of transferring funds across borders
remains prohibitively high in many corridors.
“Costs are still high, up to 25% in some corridors, but
digital solutions are driving them down,” the panel noted, citing Mastercard
Move as a key enabler. The platform aims to streamline corridors and improve
interoperability, long a pain point in African payment systems.
You may find it interesting at FinanceMagnates.com: “Calling
All Crypto Transactions Externalization Would Be Very Limiting,” Warns FMAS:25
Panel.
E-Commerce and Real-Time Payments Take Flight
The consumer side of Africa’s digital economy is growing
rapidly. With e-commerce expanding at over 30% per year, digitally native
buyers are shaping market behavior and expectations. The panel pointed to
Shoprite’s 60/60 delivery bikes as emblematic of this momentum.
“The Shoprite 60/60 delivery bikes are a testament to this
shift,” the panel said, underscoring the region’s embrace of convenience and
immediacy.
This push for speed also extends to payments. But real-time
settlement brings its own challenges.
“Merchants want instant settlement; consumers want
protection. The industry must align on standards,” the panel observed,
highlighting the need for coordinated action across the ecosystem.
Guardrails for the Road Ahead
No conversation on digital finance in 2025 is complete
without touching on AI—and its dual-use nature. Fraud, driven by increasingly
sophisticated tools, is a growing threat. “As fraudsters get smarter, so must our tools,” the panel
warned, urging industry-wide collaboration on security protocols and fraud
detection.
Looking forward, the panel envisioned not just more
digitization but a transformation of commerce itself. The rise of agentic
commerce, AI-powered
assistants handling transactions seamlessly on behalf of users, was flagged
as a major upcoming trend.
“We are entering an era where your digital agent could make
purchases, settle bills, or manage investments,” the panel said.
A Call to Keep the Momentum Inclusive
Closing the session, Marsh urged the audience to maintain
the momentum—but with intent. “Africa’s digital finance journey is accelerating; let’s
ensure it’s inclusive and secure.” With that, the conversation concluded not with finality but
with a call to action. As Africa embraces the tools of tomorrow, it must ensure
no one is left behind.
This article was written by Tareq Sikder at www.financemagnates.com.
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Yes… It is time for US quarterly earnings
Yes… It is time for earnings again. The big banks and financial institutions will kick-off the earnings for the current quarter along with 20% of the Dow 30 scheduled to report (which is six stocks marked by * in the list below).
What is expected?
Tuesday:
- J.P. Morgan*
- Wells Fargo
- JB Hunt
- BlackRock
- Bank of New York
- Citicorp
Wednesday:
- United Airlines
- PNC
- Goldman Sachs*
- Bank of America
- Morgan Stanley
- Johnson & Johnson *
Thursday
- Travelers*
- Netflix
- PepsiCo
- GE Aerospace
- Taiwan Semiconductor
- U.S. Bancorp
Friday
- Comerica
- Charles Schwab
- American Express*
- 3M*
Looking at the key releases and events the US CPI and PPI data will highlight the releases on Tuesday at 8:30 AM and Wednesday at 8:30 AM respectively
- Canada CPI – Tuesday, July 15 at 8:30am ETCanada’s inflation data will be closely watched, with headline CPI m/m expected at 0.2%, down from 0.6% previously. Both Median and Trimmed CPI y/y are forecast to remain steady at 3.0%, signaling a still-elevated but stable inflation environment. A softer print could strengthen the case for the Bank of Canada to consider further easing, while any upside surprise may delay those expectations.
- US CPI – Tuesday, July 15at 8:30 AM ETUS inflation is also in focus and the key release for the week with Core CPI m/m and headline CPI m/m both expected to rise 0.3%, up from 0.1% last month. The y/y CPI is forecast at 2.6%, ticking up from 2.4%. A hotter-than-expected print could weigh on Fed rate cut expectations, while a softer release would support the ongoing disinflation narrative and increase the hollers for a rate cut from Pres. Trump and other government officials
- BOE Gov Bailey Speaks at 4 PM Annual Mansion House Financial and Professional Services Dinner, in London. Markets will listen closely to Bailey’s comments for any clues on timing for future rate adjustments.
- UK CPI – Wednesday, July 16 at 2 AM ETUK CPI y/y is expected to remain unchanged at 3.4%, keeping the pressure on the BOE as inflation stays above target. Markets will listen closely to Bailey’s comments for any clues on timing for future rate adjustments.
- US PPI – Wednesday, July 16 at 8:30am ETProducer inflation is projected to edge higher, with Core PPI m/m forecast at 0.2% and headline PPI m/m at 0.3%, both slightly above last month’s 0.1%. While not as market-moving as CPI, these figures offer insight into upstream pricing pressures. The pieces of the CPI and the PPI will have the number crunchers forecasting the PCE data to be released later in the month. That inflation measure is the favored by the Fed.
- Australia Jobs Report – Wednesday, July 16 at 9:30pm ET (Thursday morning in Australia)Australia’s labor market is expected to show a solid rebound, with 21.0K jobs added, compared to a -2.5K loss previously. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%. A strong report could support the RBA’s neutral-to-hawkish stance, while a weak print may reignite easing discussions.
- US Retail Sales & Jobless Claims – Thursday, July 17 at 8:30am ETConsumer spending is expected to recover modestly, with Core Retail Sales forecast at 0.3% m/m and headline Retail Sales at 0.2% m/m, following last month’s declines. Meanwhile, unemployment claims are projected to rise slightly to 234K from 227K. The data will help shape expectations around consumer resilience and labor market conditions heading into Q3.
Other second tier data on tap next week includes:
- China Data – Monday, July 14China will release a batch of key economic figures, including GDP y/y (expected at 5.1%), Industrial Production y/y (5.6%), and Retail Sales y/y (5.2%), all showing slight deceleration from the prior month. However, New Loans surged to 1960B, up sharply from 620B, suggesting increased credit support. These figures will offer insight into the health of China’s economy and its momentum heading into H2.
- German ZEW Economic Sentiment – Tuesday, July 15 at 5:00am ETGermany’s ZEW Economic Sentiment index is expected to rise to 50.8 from 47.5, reflecting growing optimism among investors and analysts about the German economic outlook despite broader European uncertainties.
- Empire State Manufacturing Index – Tuesday, July 15 at 8:30am ETThe Empire State Manufacturing Index is projected to improve to -7.8 from -16.0, but still remains in contraction territory. While less negative, this suggests manufacturing activity in New York remains sluggish. The NY kicks off the regional indices for the month
- UK Labor Data – Thursday, July 17 at 2 AM ETUK wage pressures are expected to ease slightly, with the Average Earnings Index (3m/y) falling to 5.0% from 5.3%, while the Claimant Count Change is forecast at 17.9K, down from 33.1K. This will offer an updated look at the UK’s labor market tightness and its implications for BOE policy.
- Philly Fed Manufacturing Index – Thursday, July 17 at 8:30am ETThe Philly Fed Index is forecast to rebound to 0.4 from -4.0, possibly signaling a modest recovery in regional manufacturing conditions after recent weakness.
- Fed Speak – Thursday, July 17 at 3:30pm ETFOMC member Waller will speak, and markets will be listening closely for any updated views on the path of rate cuts, especially following key CPI and labor data earlier in the week.Waller has been a dove and coming after the June CPI and PPI data, his comments will be eyed for his current assessment for a policy change in July.
- UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – Friday, July 18 at 10:00am ETThe University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is expected to rise slightly to 61.4 from 60.7, suggesting a modest improvement in consumer outlook. Inflation expectations are projected to remain steady at 5.0%, a key metric for Fed watchers.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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BOEs Bailey: Uncertainty continues to weigh on growth expectations
BOE’s Bailey ins a letter to G20 finance ministers and central bank governors:
- Since April, market conditions have improved and asset prices have recovered
- We have seen further economic and geopolitical risks crystallize and global debt vulnerabilities remain high.
- Uncertainty continues to weigh on growth expectations.
- We need to remain vigilant to the rest of disruptive market moves.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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Silver’s Shine Attracts Investors. Forecast as of 11.07.2025
Rising investment demand, the “Trump Always Chickens Out” (TACO) trading, as well as signs of fiscal dominance, have pushed XAGUSD quotes to 13-year highs. Will this rally sustain, or is it time to lock in profits? Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan. Major Takeaways Capital inflows into ETFs exceeded 95 million ounces in six months. Speculators have increased their long positions in silver by 163% since the beginning of the year. Silver is still undervalued compared to gold. Long positions on the XAGUSD can be considered with a target of $40. Monthly Fundamental Forecast for Silver In… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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Trump: NATO deal is fully approved and fully done
Trump:
- NATO deal is fully approved; fully done
- Going to deliver those weapons immediately two sites of war
- Treasury Secretary Bessent goes on TV and calms the markets (HMMM is he the next Fed Chair?)
Polymarket latest odds for a new chair (or not) before December has no decision leading followed closely by the two Kevin’s and then Bessent. The no announcement is helped by the Fed Chair cutting rates sooner rather than later (September and another by the end of year). Two cuts may get the Fed Chair a reprieve for now).
Maybe not…Trump says:
- Fed should lower rates to less than 1%
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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USDJPY steps to a new high. Looking toward the June high near 148.00
The USDJPY is stretching to the upside. The pair has been weakening after the Pres Trump imposed tariffs on Japan goods including:
-
Broad 25% tariff on all imports from Japan (effective August 1)
In addition, they have:
-
25% tariff on automobiles and auto parts (March 2025)
-
50% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports (June 2025)
Technically, the price has been building over the last few trading weeks and has extended above and away from the 38.2% retracement of the move down from the 2025 high to the 2025 low. That level comes in at 147.135.
Looking at the hourly chart below, the price found support at the retracement level today. That base is a bullish signal, suggesting that buyers are continuing to lean against key technical levels on dips.
Another bullish technical development occurred last week when the price held near the rising 100-hour moving average (blue line on the chart) during two separate dips. Each time, buyers stepped in, preventing a deeper decline and reinforcing the moving average as solid support.
Staying above key technical areas—such as moving averages and retracement levels—keeps the bullish bias in place, especially during corrective pullbacks. These levels serve as decision points where buyers tend to reenter and defend the trend.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 11.07.25 – 18.07.25
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Once the correction ends, consider long positions above the level of 1.1450 with a target of 1.2050 – 1.2400. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.1450. Stop Loss: below 1.1400, Take Profit: 1.2050 – 1.2400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.1450 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.1210 – 1.1060. A sell signal: the level of 1.1450 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.1500, Take Profit: 1.1210 – 1.1060. Main Scenario Consider long positions above the level of 1.1450 with a target of 1.2050… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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MultiBank’s MEX Orient CEO Exits, Launches Institutional Finance Platform Fuchase
Niki Saki has stepped down as Chief Executive Officer of MEX
Orient. She shared the update in a LinkedIn post today (Friday), confirming the end of her
involvement with the project. Saki served as Chief Executive Officer of MEX
Orient for six months, based in Dubai.
MEX Orient was launched by MultiBank
Group to expand into underdeveloped markets, focusing on Central Asia, the
Middle East, and North Africa. The unit was led by Saki and
aimed to manage region-specific operations.
Fuchase Targets Brokers, Investors Globally
In the announcement, she thanked the MultiBank team for
their trust and collaboration but did not elaborate on the reasons for her
departure.
Now a former CEO of MEX Orient, Saki plans to focus on new
initiatives. She introduced one of them, a platform called Fuchase, describing
it as “a specialized marketplace designed for institutional financial
organizations, providing a platform where they can connect with Tier 1 and Tier
2 liquidity providers, fintech firms, banks, hedge funds, and wealth management
companies.”
The platform will offer structured solutions and expert
advisory services to help organizations explore, compare, and select offers
suited to their needs.
Saki said Fuchase will serve Introducing Brokers, Forex
brokers, and investors, offering access to advanced tools for financial
operations. She added that the platform aims to support the performance and
growth of financial institutions globally. Details of a second project are
expected in the coming months.
MultiBank, MAG Partner for Asset Tokenization
Meanwhile, MultiBank
has partnered with Dubai-based MAG and blockchain firm Mavryk in a $3
billion agreement to tokenize real estate assets. The initiative, led through
MultiBank.io, involves bringing high-value properties onto the blockchain.
MultiBank.io is operated by MEX Digital FZE, which recently
obtained a Virtual Asset Service Provider license from Dubai’s VARA. The
license allows certain virtual asset activities and supports the platform’s
infrastructure. A utility token, $MBG, will be used for access and transactions
within the digital investment ecosystem.
This article was written by Tareq Sikder at www.financemagnates.com.
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“If You Take Off Your Logo and Put in Competitor’s and It Works, You Failed”: Marketing Strategies from FMAS:25
In an era of deafening digital noise and scarce trust, financial marketers are rethinking their playbooks. That urgency resonated at FMAS:25 during a panel discussion titled “Now It’s Personal: Marketing for Financial Services.”
Moderated by Ziad Melhem, the Chief Marketing Officer
at CFI Financial Group, during the FMAS:25, the session brought together
marketing leaders, including Alex Stefanidis, Senior BDE Africa at HFM; Yudhvir Ranchod, Brand Marketing Director at Peach Payments; Alicja Radwanska, Chief Marketing Officer at Scichart; and Ivan Nemorin, Chief Marketing
Officer at JP Markets.
Personalization Starts with the Market, Not the
Message
Stefanidis underscored a common misperception: “Marketing should be localized to understand local client behavior, particularities of the area, linguistic nuances, all these things that make up the different regions, and what clients need in each region at the same time.”
“It should also engage with compliance at all times so that they make sure that they are compliant in each regulation and each jurisdiction in which they operate. When they do that, marketing teams will be
successful and will redefine themselves from being a campaign executor to
actually being agile problem solvers.”
For Peach Payments’ brand Marketing Director, Ranchod,
tailoring messaging to local realities is non-negotiable. When the company
expanded into Mauritius, they discovered that consumers there were less
comfortable shopping online than in South Africa.
“What we learned from local nuance in Mauritius was that
people still didn’t trust buying online as they as much as they did in South
Africa, and so a lot of the work we did in Mauritius was educating market
businesses and consumers about shopping online and safety, something that we
didn’t expect, but had to adapt to very quickly. And so again it’s local nuance,
right, it’s who your customers are, the right message at the right time.”
Beyond Vanity
Metrics
When asked about her opinion on attribution, which acknowledges complexity but still helps in business decisions, Radwanska cut to
the heart of marketing’s data dilemma.
“We have to be very careful how we evaluate data and also make sure that we align KPIs that we’re looking at with the business goals, and we track what the business goals really need us to track.”
“I mean there temptation every click every open rate, and
my recommendation is in terms of attribution model is to triangulate this into
three kinds of key sorts of data, one will be your primary data so your CRM
your e-commerce your apps data second will be your third-party platform, and
the third one is the sales intel.”
Standing Out in a Sea of Sameness
In a heavily regulated space like financial services,
standing out can feel like a tightrope act. “All of us as marketers are saying
the same thing, you know, fast withdrawals, tighter spreads, zero commissions. And
you know, when people see the messaging and the advertising and all the
promotions that we’re doing, for them, it’s like, but it’s already been
done, Nemorin said.
“Why should I
get involved with this particular broker, or this particular payment method. Whatever
the case is, there you know, so it speaks to that deeper issue that you talk
about, skepticism.
“More users are more cautious, especially in this fintech space in the industry, because you know you’re dealing with their money. At the end of the day, you’re dealing.”
More from FMAS: “In the Last 18 Months, Brokers Have Been Moving Toward ODP Licenses,” FMAS: 25 Insights on Regulation
Ranchod echoed that sentiment. His test: if you remove
your company’s logo from a piece of content and it still works for a
competitor, “you failed.”
Compliance Is Not the Enemy
Many marketers see compliance as the final hurdle
before launch, but Nemorin suggested flipping the script. “Are you building trust
with what you’re saying? Are you being transparent in what you’re saying?”
We have our guidelines from the regulator that says we
can’t do certain things so we don’t say those things but can it be interpreted
that we’re saying these things or making certain claims and at the end of the
day can what we’re saying be backed up by actual research by actual things.”
He emphasized that regulatory guardrails exist to
protect consumers and help firms build trust. When the panel turned to artificial intelligence, the
mood shifted—part excitement, part existential anxiety.
“ What people need to understand is that AI isn’t meant to replace us; it’s meant to assist us,” Nemorin said. However, others disagreed. “
The moment AI learns how to train itself and become smarter and smarter, it’s
over for humans, Stefanidis opined. Still, panelists agreed AI cannot replicate human
judgment, creativity, or leadership.
This article was written by Jared Kirui at www.financemagnates.com.
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