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Transmissão ao vivo do MoneyMaker FX EA Trading Robot

Transmissão ao vivo do MoneyMaker FX EA Trading Robot

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Japanese yen stays in focus as inflation data slows further in May

Japanese yen stays in focus as inflation data slows further in May

It was always going to be a race against time for the BOJ in the first half of this year. And the inflation data today reaffirms that sentiment, with prices converging further towards the pivotal 2% mark. Where art thou inflation?

The headache for the BOJ continues as such. They managed to squeeze in a rate hike in March but are struggling to follow that up.

The earlier thinking was that they might act in June or possibly July. But now, the narrative has shifted to the BOJ potentially moving in September next. It is a case of kicking the can down the road.

Policymakers are still presenting the argument that eventually, prices will start to turn higher again in 2H 2024. Their belief stems from the supposed “virtuous cycle” that has been formed alongside higher wages in the past two years. But it is best to be reminded that this has been a spot that has struggled for traction for over two decades in Japan.

And that is not to mention that they are swimming against the current here. All the other major central banks are arguing that inflation pressures are to come down further going into 2025. So, there’s that.

The longer that the data continues down this trend, the harder it will be to justify the BOJ’s conviction. And that is ultimately what is weighing on the yen, and will continue to do so in the bigger picture.

USD/JPY is now rising back up closer to 159.00 today, with watchful eyes on Tokyo intervention once again.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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Revolut to Discontinue “Lite” Version of Its Services

Revolut to Discontinue “Lite” Version of Its Services

While Revolut is expanding its reach in most countries, it has quietly shuttered Revolut Lite services. According to an email sent to the customers of Revolut Lite, seen by Finance Magnates, the company will end the trimmed-down service on 20 July 2024.

“We regret to inform you that we’ve decided to discontinue our Revolut Lite services, effective from 20 July 2024,” the email sent to Revolut Lite customers stated. “This wasn’t an easy decision to make, and we want to thank you for your support and loyalty as a customer.”

The End of Revolut Lite

Revolut Lite is a simplified version of the full Revolut app that provides only basic functionalities, such as sending and receiving funds. Although Revolut promises to include more features in the future for its Lite users, the situation turned out to be the opposite.

“We’ve made a strategic decision to focus on offering our full suite of services when launching a product in new markets,” the challenger bank added in the email. “So when we’re back, expect even more of what Revolut has to offer.”

“Until 20 July 2024, you can continue to use our services as usual. But from 20 July 2024, your account will no longer be available for sending or receiving money transfers.”

Revolut makes its Lite version available in 16 countries, including Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Chile, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Macao, Malaysia, North Macedonia, Oman, Qatar, Moldova, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, Sri Lanka, and Vietnam. Now, with the termination of the services, users in these countries will be left without any services offered by Revolut.

Expanding Services in Core Markets

Meanwhile, for its customers in the European Economic Area, Revolut recently expanded its offering by adding the capability of investment in bonds. The fintech also brought a range of services, including contracts for differences (CFDs) investment through its partnership with CMC Connect.

According to Revolut, it has more than 40 million users globally. However, it is unknown how many of those users are using the Revolut Lite version of the app.

This article was written by Arnab Shome at www.financemagnates.com.

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PMIs back on the agenda in Europe today

PMIs back on the agenda in Europe today

The dollar continues to keep somewhat resilient on the week, with major currencies not showing too much appetite. USD/JPY remains a standout though, as the pair climbs to 159.00 – its highest level since Japan intervened on 29 April. No stopping traders from dancing to the beat there.

In other markets, European equities bounced back a little yesterday while US stocks ended slightly lower after the record highs on Wednesday. The overall mood remains optimistic although in Europe, political woes are still weighing on things from a regional perspective.

Looking to the session ahead, there will be some decent economic releases to work through. The highlight will be the French, German, and Eurozone PMIs for June. That will provide some idea as to the resilience of the economy after the better showing in Q1.

For the UK, we’ll also get PMI data and it will come alongside the retail sales numbers for May. The estimates for the latter point to a rebound but it has been countless times now that UK retail sales have disappointed on expectations. Will we get another repeat of that today? That will keep sterling in focus as well after the post-BOE drop yesterday.

0600 GMT – UK May retail sales data0645 GMT – France June business confidence0715 GMT – France June flash manufacturing, services, composite PMI0730 GMT – Germany June flash manufacturing, services, composite PMI0800 GMT – Eurozone June flash manufacturing, services, composite PMI0830 GMT – UK June flash manufacturing, services, composite PMI

That’s all for the session ahead. I wish you all the best of days to come and good luck with your trading! Stay safe out there.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: USD/JPY pops above 159.10 briefly

ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: USD/JPY pops above 159.10 briefly

The
focus for the session was on Japan’s May inflation data.

Prior
to this we had poor preliminary PMI data from Australia for June.
AUD/USD has done very little on the session.

Japan’s
inflation was mixed, with the headline and ‘core’ (excluding
fresh food) rising while core-core (excluding food and energy) fell
to its slowest since September 2022. While the data was not conclusive there
is likely to be enough in it to allow the Bank of Japan to raise
short term rates at its next meeting (July 30 and 31) if it chooses
that path. There will be another CPI reading prior to that meeting so
it may be too early to reach a view on this.

Also
from Japan today we had verbal intervention comments from, in order:

  • Vice-minister
    for international affairs at Japan’s Ministry of Finance Kanda. He is
    the official who will instruct the BOJ to intervene, when he judges
    it necessary.
  • Japan’s
    chief cabinet secretary Hayashi
  • Japan’s
    finance minister Suzuki

Also, reports
out of Japan say utility subsidies are to resume, gasoline subsidies
will remain, and measures to reduce the burden of electricity and gas
prices are being prepared.

In late US time the US Trasury released its latest “Macroeconomic and Foreign Exchange Policies of Major Trading Partners” report. It put Japan back on currency manipulation monitoring list

USD/JPY
traded up above 159.10, but only briefly. Its back around 158.90 or
so as I update.

Major
FX rates apart from those mentioned already traded subdued ranges
only.

As
a heads up, it could be a volatile US session, especially for the
equity and equity derivative folks. Friday’s ‘Quad Witching’
options expiry is the largest ever. US$5.1 trillion in notional
options exposure expiring, including $870 billion in single stock
options.

USD/CNH is off its high. The PBOC did nudge the CNY a touch weaker again at the reference rate setting today, but by only 4 ticks (7.1196 today vs. 7.1192 on Thursday) :

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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Tune in Monday for the Bank of Japan Summary of its June meeting

Tune in Monday for the Bank of Japan Summary of its June meeting

The Bank of Japan meeting in June produced the commitment to trim back JGB buying from the following, July, meeting:

On Monday we’ll get more detail from that meeting with the release of the ‘Summary of Opinions’ . The Summary serves as a record of the discussion and views of the Policy Board members on various economic and financial issues.

Key points about the Summary:

  • The summary includes the views of the Policy Board members on economic conditions, both domestically and globally. This includes assessments of economic growth, inflation, and employment trends, among other indicators.
  • The summary also outlines the Policy Board members’ views on the effectiveness of the BOJ’s current monetary policy measures, including interest rate policy, asset purchases, and yield curve control. Members may discuss the pros and cons of these policies and their potential impact on the economy.
  • The summary includes discussions on the outlook for monetary policy and the potential risks to the economy. Board members may express their views on the appropriate timing and direction of future policy changes, as well as the potential impact of external factors such as global economic conditions.
  • The summary also includes any dissenting views among the Policy Board members. If a member disagrees with the majority view on a particular issue, they may express their own opinion and rationale.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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