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USDJPY moves above the 38.2% of the move down from the 2025 trading range
The USDJPY has moved above the 38.2% retracement of the 2025 trading range, measured from the January 10 high to the April 22 low. That retracement level comes in at 147.135, and it’s aligned with a key swing area between 147.014 and 147.338. The pair has extended to a high of 147.515, marking the third attempt to break and hold above this level since the April low.
Previous moves above the 38.2% retracement—on May 12 and June 23—ultimately failed to hold, but this renewed push gives buyers another opportunity to seize control. From a technical perspective, staying above 147.135 is now critical. If that support holds, upside targets include the June high at 148.019, followed by the May high at 148.647, which sits within a notable swing area between 148.56 and 148.724 (highlighted by red circles on the chart). That swing area increases the May highs importance
The market is once again testing the waters for a bullish breakout. The question now is: Will buyers finally maintain momentum above the 38.2% retracement, or will this be another failed attempt? The close risk level for USD bulls is clear—hold above 147.135 to keep the bullish case alive.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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Brazil’s Lula: If US tariffs take effect, we will reciprocate
- W will fight for US tariffs not to take effect
- Trump is misinformed, the US does not run a trade deficit with Brazil
One of Brazil’s main exports to the US is coffee so there is no advantage to the US placing tariffs on it. The Brazilian real is barely down since the whole thing blew up, which tells you the market’s view of it.
This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
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MultiBank’s MEX Orient CEO Exits, Launches Institutional Finance Platform Fuchase
Niki Saki has stepped down as Chief Executive Officer of MEX
Orient. She shared the update in a LinkedIn post today (Friday), confirming the end of her
involvement with the project. Saki served as Chief Executive Officer of MEX
Orient for six months, based in Dubai.
MEX Orient was launched by MultiBank
Group to expand into underdeveloped markets, focusing on Central Asia, the
Middle East, and North Africa. The unit was led by Saki and
aimed to manage region-specific operations.
Fuchase Targets Brokers, Investors Globally
In the announcement, she thanked the MultiBank team for
their trust and collaboration but did not elaborate on the reasons for her
departure.
Now a former CEO of MEX Orient, Saki plans to focus on new
initiatives. She introduced one of them, a platform called Fuchase, describing
it as “a specialized marketplace designed for institutional financial
organizations, providing a platform where they can connect with Tier 1 and Tier
2 liquidity providers, fintech firms, banks, hedge funds, and wealth management
companies.”
The platform will offer structured solutions and expert
advisory services to help organizations explore, compare, and select offers
suited to their needs.
Saki said Fuchase will serve Introducing Brokers, Forex
brokers, and investors, offering access to advanced tools for financial
operations. She added that the platform aims to support the performance and
growth of financial institutions globally. Details of a second project are
expected in the coming months.
MultiBank, MAG Partner for Asset Tokenization
Meanwhile, MultiBank
has partnered with Dubai-based MAG and blockchain firm Mavryk in a $3
billion agreement to tokenize real estate assets. The initiative, led through
MultiBank.io, involves bringing high-value properties onto the blockchain.
MultiBank.io is operated by MEX Digital FZE, which recently
obtained a Virtual Asset Service Provider license from Dubai’s VARA. The
license allows certain virtual asset activities and supports the platform’s
infrastructure. A utility token, $MBG, will be used for access and transactions
within the digital investment ecosystem.
This article was written by Tareq Sikder at www.financemagnates.com.
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Yen Remains Depressed As US Tariff Letters Land. Forecast as of 08.07.2025
Tokyo’s request for a reduction in the tariffs imposed by Washington has led to tensions between the two nations. Donald Trump threatened to raise tariffs to 35% but ultimately limited them to 25%. As a result, the USDJPY pair surged. Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan. Major Takeaways Japan has been hit with higher tariffs from the US. Parliamentary elections are putting pressure on the yen. Tokyo should show flexibility in negotiations. Long trades on the USDJPY pair can be considered if the price pierces 146.5. Weekly Fundamental Forecast for Yen The markets are constantly evolving, and… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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GBPUSD moved down to swing area on the weekly chart.
The GBPUSD has been steadily moving lower in today’s trading. The decline has been fueled by weaker UK economic data and a broader wave of US dollar strength, as markets respond to the inflationary implications of higher U.S. tariffs. Additionally, rising concerns over slower global growth have supported safe-haven flows into the dollar, adding further pressure to the pound.
Looking at the weekly chart, the USDCAD has dipped into a key swing area dating back to 2016, which spans between 1.3411 and 1.3514. Today’s low reached 1.3495, with a modest bounce currently taking the pair to around 1.3504.
On the hourly chart below, the price decline today has broken below the 61.8% retracement level at 1.3529, moving further away from the 100-hour moving average (blue line). While the pair briefly moved above that moving average yesterday, it quickly reversed lower with momentum, signaling strong selling pressure.
The pair also fell through a swing area between 1.3505 and 1.3514, reaching a session low of 1.3495. These broken levels now act as near-term resistance, and traders will be watching them closely. A move back above 1.3514, and especially the 61.8% level at 1.3529, would be a disappointment for sellers. That retracement level has been tested multiple times this week — including lows on Tuesday and yesterday — and today’s break adds to its technical significance going forward.
That 61.8% area the key area now and going forward. Stay below and more momentum to the downside can be anticipated. Move above and the technicals tilt more to the upside at least in short-term.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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EUR/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 11.07.25 – 18.07.25
Major Takeaways Main scenario: Once the correction ends, consider long positions above the level of 1.1450 with a target of 1.2050 – 1.2400. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.1450. Stop Loss: below 1.1400, Take Profit: 1.2050 – 1.2400. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.1450 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.1210 – 1.1060. A sell signal: the level of 1.1450 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.1500, Take Profit: 1.1210 – 1.1060. Main Scenario Consider long positions above the level of 1.1450 with a target of 1.2050… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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US: Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 227K last week
The US Department of Labour (DOL) reported on Thursday that the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance fell to 227K for the week ending July 5.
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Now we wait on the Trump EU tariff headline
The euro is in focus today with Trump slated to deliver a tariff letter to Von Der Leyen outlining a tariff rate, likely with an August 1 deadline.
The market would be expecting to see a 20% headline rate, which is in-line with what he announced on ‘Liberation Day’ before backtracking. Like that day, whatever number he announces today will be a point of negotiation rather — and likely theatre — than anything real.
I’ll be interested to see how quickly the dip in the euro is bought. It took less than an hour for the loonie to materially bounce while it took the Brazilian real about 3 hours to turn.
This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
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