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Oil: Market expectations diverge from data – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Commodity Research team, led by Norman Liebke and colleagues, notes that Oil prices have fallen as optimism grows over US–Iran talks and a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Feed from Fxstreet.com
Japanese Yen weakens against the US Dollar as traders monitor intervention risks
USD/JPY rebounds on Friday after falling nearly 0.90% the previous day, amid speculation that Japanese authorities may have intervened in the foreign exchange market after the Japanese Yen slid to a 40-year low earlier this week.
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Bank of Japan: Wage data backs rates hike path – Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo Economics expects Japan’s May labor cash earnings to confirm a sustained wage-price cycle, supporting Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy normalization.
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Fundies Cheat Sheet Recap: Jun 29–Jul 3, 2026
This time the calendar was right: a payrolls miss and a dovish Warsh sank the dollar. Scenario C was operative, and all five asset directions came in.
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Japanese Yen: Intervention risk rises at multi-decade lows – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO’s Georgette Boele warns that USD/JPY trading near multi-decade highs has heightened the risk of intervention in the Japanese Yen (JPY). She notes markets are long Dollars and extremely short Yen, leaving room for a sharp reversal if sentiment shifts.
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New Zealand Dollar strengthens as weaker US labor market weighs on US Dollar
NZD/USD trades around 0.5710 at the time of writing on Friday, up 0.21% on the day, supported by improved risk sentiment and a weaker US Dollar (USD) following a softer-than-expected US employment report.
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Canada: Trade risks and persistence – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economists Claire Fan and Nathan Janzen assess the implications of the U.S. decision not to extend CUSMA (Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement) on July 1st.
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Weekly Economic Calendar for 06.07.2026–12.07.2026
During the upcoming trading week of July 6–July 12, 2026, market participants will focus on the release of key macroeconomic data from China, Germany, the Eurozone, the US, and Canada, as well as the outcome of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s meeting. Particular attention will be paid to Wednesday’s release of the minutes from the Fed’s June meeting, and market participants will be looking for additional signals and clarity regarding the outlook for the US central bank’s monetary policy. Note: During the coming week, new events may be added to the calendar, and/or some scheduled events may be canceled. GMT… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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WTI Crude Oil advances on softer US jobs data and lingering Middle East tensions
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades around $68.65 at the time of writing on Friday, up 0.30% on the day, recovering part of its recent losses as the US Dollar (USD) weakens following softer-than-expected US employment data.
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Euro: Slightly reduced upside as policy paths diverge – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO’s Bill Diviney expects the US Dollar to weaken broadly but notes slightly less upside for EUR/USD after revising the bank’s ECB outlook and incorporating French and US election risks.
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Gold price climbs as weak NFP cool Fed hike bets
Gold (XAU/USD) price rises by more than 1% on Friday as investors digest a softer-than-expected US jobs report, trimming hawkish bets despite higher inflation. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD pair trades at $4,174, after bouncing off daily lows of $4,121.
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Chinese Yuan: Range trade bias stays neutral against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes that USD/CNH has seen a slight pickup in downward momentum, but still expects the pair to remain range-bound. The bank now looks for a lower intraday band around 6.7820–6.7940, while its 1–3 week view stays neutral, with USD/CNH likely to trade between 6.7750 and 6.8080.
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