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Nasdaq Composite Technical Analysis

Nasdaq Composite Technical Analysis

Yesterday,
the Nasdaq Composite opened higher following the strong Nvidia
earnings
release the prior day. Moreover, we got again some strong US data as
the US
Jobless Claims
beat expectations and the US PMIs
continued to point to a resilient economy. At the moment, there’s no bearish
catalyst in sight, so we will likely see some more upside for the stock market
and possibly a new all-time high in the next few days.

Nasdaq Composite Technical
Analysis – Daily Timeframe

On the daily chart, we can see that the Nasdaq
Composite yesterday opened much higher than the previous close as Nvidia
earnings after the close pushed the market to new highs. The index is now very
close to the all-time high and we can expect the buyers to keep bidding the
price into the key level targeting a breakout. The sellers, on the other hand,
might step in around the all-time high with a defined risk above it to position
for a break below the trendline and even
lower prices afterwards.

Nasdaq Composite Technical
Analysis – 4 hour Timeframe

On the 4 hour chart, we can see more
closely yesterday’s big jump with the price now less than 1% away from the
all-time high. There’s not much else to glean from this chart so we need to
zoom in to see some more details.

Nasdaq Composite Technical
Analysis – 1 hour Timeframe

On the 1 hour chart, we can see that we
have now a support zone
around the 15900 level. If we were to get a pullback, we can expect the buyers
to pile in there with a defined risk below the zone to position for another
rally into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, can only wait for a break
below the major trendline before considering new positions.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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WTI Crude Oil: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 23.02.24 – 01.03.24

WTI Crude Oil: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 23.02.24 – 01.03.24

Main scenario: consider long positions from corrections above the level of 75.78 with a target of 84.65 – 88.55. Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 75.78 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 63.67 – 55.00. Analysis: a downside correction presumably continues developing as second wave of larger degree (2) on the daily time frame, with waves A of (2) and  B of (2) completed as its parts. Wave С of (2) is developing on the H4 time frame, with the first wave of smaller degree i of C formed and a correction… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance

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USDJPY: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 23.02.24 – 01.03.24

USDJPY: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 23.02.24 – 01.03.24

Main scenario: consider long positions from corrections above the level of 149.56 with a target of 152.50 – 155.00.  Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 149.56 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 145.90 – 143.29.  Analysis: an ascending wave of larger degree C continues forming on the daily chart, with the fifth wave (5) of C unfolding as its part. On the H4 chart, there’s wave 1 of (5) formed and a downside correction completed as second wave 2 of (5). The third wave 3 of (5) has started forming, with the… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance

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ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar set for first weekly drop for the year

ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar set for first weekly drop for the year

Headlines:

Markets:

  • AUD leads, JPY lags on the day
  • European equities higher; S&P 500 futures flat
  • US 10-year yields flat at 4.328%
  • Gold flat at $2,023.48
  • WTI crude down 1.6% to $76.75
  • Bitcoin down 1.2% to $51,015

It was a quiet session as major currencies trended more sideways after some back and forth action in the dollar yesterday.

The greenback is marginally lower at the balance today but the ranges for the day are leaving a lot to be desired. The action in bonds and stocks are also largely muted, so that isn’t really helping ahead of US trading. After the bustling gains in equities, we’ll see if Wall Street can follow that up later in the day.

In terms of data, the German Ifo business survey reaffirmed sluggish sentiment in Europe’s largest economy. Meanwhile, the final GDP reading served to confirm a technical recession for Germany in the second half of last year.

Besides that, ECB policymakers kept up with their pushback as they push markets to wait on the next set of wages data in May before perhaps proceeding with the first rate cut in June.

In the commodities space, oil is seen retreating again as price continues to struggle to get past the $78.40-70 mark for the time being. And gold is looking flattish around $2,023 in hanging on to its gains on the week.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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USDCAD Technical Analysis – Key levels in play

USDCAD Technical Analysis – Key levels in play

USD

  • The Fed left interest rates unchanged as
    expected at the last meeting while dropping the tightening bias in the
    statement but adding a slight pushback against a March rate cut.
  • De US CPI beat
    expectations for the second consecutive month with the disinflationary trend
    reversing.
  • De US PPI beat
    expectations across the board by a big margin.
  • De US Jobless Claims beat
    expectations with the data remaining steady.
  • The latest US PMIs
    increased further from the prior month with the Manufacturing PMI beating
    expectations and the Services PMI missing.
  • De US Retail Sales missed
    expectations across the board by a big margin.
  • The market now expects the first rate cut in June.

CAD

  • The BoC left interest rates unchanged at
    5.00%
    as expected and dropped the language about being prepared to hike if
    needed.
  • The latest Canadian CPI missed expectations across the
    board with the underlying inflation measures falling, which will be a welcome
    development for the BoC.
  • On the labour market side, the latest report beat
    expectations but we saw a contraction in full-time employment and a fall in
    wage growth.
  • The Canadian PMIs improved in
    January although they remain both in contractionary territory.
  • The market expects the first rate
    cut in June.

USDCAD Technical Analysis –
Daily Timeframe

On the daily chart, we can see that USDCAD probed
below the trendline and red
21 moving average but
reversed the move quickly, eventually finishing back above it. This might have
been a fakeout, which is generally a reversal pattern, so the buyers could
start to pile in with more conviction to position for a rally into the 1.3620
level. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price falling back
below the trendline to position for a drop into the 1.3360 level.

USDCAD Technical Analysis –
4 hour Timeframe

On the 4 hour chart, we can see more closely the price
action around the trendline with the break and the quick rebound. We can also
notice that the latest leg lower diverged with the
MACD which is
generally a sign of weakening momentum often followed by pullbacks or
reversals. In this case, it might be a signal for a pullback into the downward
trendline where we will likely find the sellers stepping in to target a break
below the major upward trendline. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to
see the price breaking higher to increase the bullish bets into the 1.3620
level.

USDCAD Technical Analysis –
1 hour Timeframe

On the 1 hour chart, we can see that we had
a counter-trendline for the pullback into the major trendline which was eventually
breached this morning. The buyers should keep on bidding the price into the
downward trendline but if the price were to reverse and break below the support zone
around the 1.3460 level though, we can expect the sellers to pile in more
aggressively to extend an eventual selloff into the 1.3360 level.

This article was written by FL Contributors at www.forexlive.com.

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GBPUSD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 23.02.24 – 01.03.24

GBPUSD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 23.02.24 – 01.03.24

Main scenario: consider long positions from corrections above the level of 1.2535 with a target of 1.3000 – 1.3147. Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.2535 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.2427 – 1.2332. Analysis: the first wave of larger degree (1) is presumably formed, a correction is completed as second wave (2), and the ascending third wave (3) started unfolding on the daily chart. Apparently, the first wave of smaller degree 1 of (3) is formed and a local correction finished developing as second wave 2 of (3) on the… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance

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