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The euro is at a new session low, down 83 pips to 1.0651. The pair had attempted to find support at the early-European low of 1.0660 and bounced from there but the selling resumed in the last 20 minutes.
Month-end flows have been a factor this week but the economic data largely tells the story.
Today’s German CPI reading for May was 6.1% y/y compared to 6.5% expected. In the US, JOLTS job openings unexpectedly rose to 10.1m versus 9.38m expected. There is considerably more labor slack in Europe compared to the US and that may limit ECB hikes and lead to earlier cuts. Meanwhile, the US economy continues to hold up better than anticipated.
If that trend holds, the euro will soon be challenging the January-March double bottom. A big factor in that will be the FOMC decision on June 14 and the US CPI report a day before.
This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
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Review of the main events of the Forex economic calendar for the next trading week (29.05.2023 – 04.06.2023) The dollar strengthened again, and the DXY index closed last week with another decent gain of about 1.2%. This was the third week in a row that the dollar strengthened and its DXY index rose. In total, over the past 3 weeks, it gained about 3.1%, thus returning to the levels of more than 2 months ago. The sales of the US government bonds continue with the US government debt in the spotlight. The US President Biden promised to help reach an… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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The major indices in the US are opening lower. The Dow Industrial Average is down for the 7th out of 8 trading days. NASDAQ index is also lower after 3 straight days of gains. The S&P index is back below its 100-week moving average at 4198.61
A snapshot of the market 9 minutes into the open is showing:
Looking at the US at that market, yields are lower:
A look at other markets currently shows:
It is month and so there could be some additional volatility (although after the settlement date of most instruments)
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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