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September 24, 2022 3:49 pm | Uncategorized
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EUR/USD extends its recovery as hopes of a US – EU deal remain alive
July 14, 2025 9:23 pm | FOREX NEWS
The EUR/USD pair bounced up from lows in the early European session on Monday, and is trading higher for the first time in the past four trading days.
Feed from Fxstreet.com
USD/INR trades firmly as inflation in India cools down again
July 14, 2025 9:17 pm | FOREX NEWS
The Indian Rupee (INR) declines against the US Dollar (USD) at the start of the week, sending the USD/INR pair higher to near 86.15.
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Crude oil futures settle at $66.98
July 14, 2025 9:01 pm | FOREX NEWS
The price of crude oil futures is settling the day at $66.98. That’s down $1.47 or -2.15%.
The price last week traded above and below its 200 day moving average on four of the five trading days, but it was only until Friday that the price closed above that moving average.
In trading today, the price extended to a new high going back to June 24 reaching a peak of $69.61. But momentum reversed and after falling back below the 200-day moving average at $68.33, selling intensified with the price moving down to a low of $66.87 near the end of day.
Looking at the hourly chart above, the price has also fallen below its 100-hour moving average at $67.97, and its 200-hour moving average at $67.37 respectively. Those are also bearish developments.
So, cracking below the 200-day moving average, the 100 hour moving average, and the 200-hour moving average, gives the sellers some needed control, and puts the buyers on the back foot once again.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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AUDUSD under pressure as key support levels come into view
July 14, 2025 8:41 pm | FOREX NEWS
After last week’s rally in the AUDUSD stalled at an old upward sloping trend line resistance, the pair has come under renewed selling pressure to start the week.Today’s price action is reinforcing the bearish shift, with the pair moving further below the trend line and now eyeing key downside support levels.
Initial focus is on the 100-bar (blue line) and 200-bar (green line) moving averages on the 4-hour chart, currently at 0.6533 and 0.6511, respectively (and both rising). A break and hold below these levels would be an important step toward a deeper decline. Absent that, buyers still retain some control, even as price softens from the highs.
Adding to the technical importance, the 100-bar MA also aligns with the low of a swing area between 0.6535 and 0.6556 (see red circles and yellow shaded zone). This area represents a key decision point for the market.
Below that, the next major target is 0.65096, which marks the 38.2% retracement of the move up from the June low. A break below would likely accelerate bearish momentum, exposing the 50% midpoint and last week’s low near 0.64823 (a dual support target for sellers).
Although the AUDUSD pair is lower over recent sessions, sellers still have work to do to take control from the buyers. A move below both the swing area low at 0.6535 and the rising 100-bar MA at 0.6533 would shift the bias more firmly into bearish territory, giving sellers increased control. Absent that, and the sellers are not winning
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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Economic calendar in Asia 15 July 2025 – China Q2 GDP and June economic activity data
July 14, 2025 8:38 pm | FOREX NEWS
Plenty of data on the way from China today.
Expectations for Q2 GDP are running ahead of the government target:
Expectations for June month data are more mixed, steady for IP and Investment while retail sales are expected to drop back to a still healthy 5.6% y/y growth rate.
Equites in China are being underpinned by flows based on bets of improvement:
- Where are Sovereign Wealth Funds and Central Banks shifting funds to? China, USD
- Chinese President Xi Jinping’s war on deflation speeds up – “Anti – involution” policy
- ICYMI – China set to ramp up and broaden its fiscal support in the second half of the year
- This snapshot from the ForexLive economic data calendar, access it here.
- The times in the left-most column are GMT.
- The numbers in the right-most column are the ‘prior’ (previous month/quarter as the case may be) result. The number in the column next to that, where there is a number, is the consensus median expected.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD refreshes three-week high, aims to revisit $3,400
July 14, 2025 8:22 pm | FOREX NEWS
Gold price (XAU/USD) posts a fresh three-week high around $3,370 during the European trading session on Monday.
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Trade ideas thread – Tuesday, 15 July, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
July 14, 2025 8:22 pm | FOREX NEWS
Good morning, afternoon and evening all. Any charts, technical analysis, trade ideas, thoughts, views, ForexLive traders would like to share and discuss with fellow ForexLive traders, please do so:
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
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XRP Nears $3: Grayscale Challenges SEC Over Paused Multi-Crypto ETF
July 14, 2025 8:14 pm | FOREX NEWS
As major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and XRP, post
gains today, Grayscale Investments has filed a legal challenge against the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission after the regulator paused approval of its
Digital Large Cap Fund.
The fund, which includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and
Cardano, was initially approved by the SEC’s Division of Trading and Markets
but was later stayed pending an internal review.
XRP Nears Psychological $3 Level
XRP has approached the key psychological level of $3.
According to the H1 XRP/USD chart, the asset opened the day at 1.54350 and
began moving upward from the second hour of trading. Bullish momentum increased
following a breakout above 2.60000.
After a brief pullback, a bullish engulfing candle pushed
the price to 2.980000. As of writing, the price faced strong resistance at the
day’s high. However, current price action suggests another test of the $3 level
may be likely.
Analysts See XRP Retesting $3.40
Market analysts have identified a
symmetrical triangle pattern in XRP’s monthly chart, indicating a possible
breakout. The current consolidation phase has lasted over 330 days, and some
chart watchers suggest a move could occur between July and mid-September, based
on typical pattern resolution timelines.
With recent price momentum, some analysts believe XRP could possibly
retest the earlier high of $3.40, depending on how the pattern develops in the
coming weeks.
You may find it interesting at FinanceMagnates.com: Why
Is Crypto Going Up Today? Bitcoin Hits ATH, XRP at 2-Month High, Ethereum and
Dogecoin Follow.
🚨 Grayscale pushes SEC to lift pause on its multi-crypto ETF.Lawyers call the delay harmful to investors & threaten legal action.The fund includes $BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $ADA, $XRP.Could this unlock the door for $DOGE, $PENGU & others? 👀 pic.twitter.com/Rla1Xr8oac
— CryptoPotato Official (@Crypto_Potato) July 11, 2025
Legal Team Presses for Approval Recognition
Grayscale’s legal team has argued that the approval should
be considered final, as the SEC missed its legal deadline to act. The company
has requested that the SEC recognize the approval as effective and is exploring
legal options to lift the stay and move forward with the fund.
Regulatory Pause May Impact Other Products
The SEC’s pause may delay the launch of similar products,
creating uncertainty around regulated access to digital assets. The case
highlights regulatory challenges for crypto-related funds and may influence
future decisions on digital investment products.
This article was written by Tareq Sikder at www.financemagnates.com.
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“Costs Could Reach 25%”: FMAS:25 Panel Urges Cheaper Cross-Border Solutions for Africa’s $50B Remittances
July 14, 2025 7:59 pm | FOREX NEWS
As Africa races ahead in digital finance, a panel of
speakers gathered at Finance
Magnates Africa Summit 2025 to assess the continent’s trajectory—from
inclusion to innovation. Titled “Pay it Forward: Africa’s Leap Toward Digital
Finance,” the session offered a panoramic view of the region’s payment
progression, framed by both optimism and realism.
Moderated by Hannalie Marsh, Ambassador of Women in Payments
Africa, the discussion featured Gabriel Swanepoel, Country Manager for Southern
Africa at Mastercard. Their message was clear: Africa’s digital moment is now,
but execution must match ambition.
From Access to Impact
The panel opened by examining Africa’s unique demographics,
a youthful population and diverse regulatory patchwork, which together present
both a challenge and a catalyst.
“Convergence is key,” the panel noted, urging a shift in
narrative. “The question is no longer just about smartphone penetration but how
we meet consumers where they are in their daily lives.”
That shift, from infrastructure to impact, was central. Mastercard’s
Mobilizing Access in the Digital Economy (MAiD) initiative was held up as a
working model. Designed to support underserved populations, particularly
smallholder farmers and women entrepreneurs. MAiD links digital identity to a
store of value, turning informal commerce into a trackable, bankable activity.
“By linking digital identity with a store of value, we
enable invisible trade to become visible, opening doors to credit and new
markets,” the panel explained.
Fixing the Pipes: Cross-Border Payments and Remittances
While the discussion acknowledged progress, it also returned
repeatedly to the persistent inefficiencies in cross-border transactions—an
area with more urgency than innovation. Africa receives more than $50 billion
in remittances annually, yet the cost of transferring funds across borders
remains prohibitively high in many corridors.
“Costs are still high, up to 25% in some corridors, but
digital solutions are driving them down,” the panel noted, citing Mastercard
Move as a key enabler. The platform aims to streamline corridors and improve
interoperability, long a pain point in African payment systems.
You may find it interesting at FinanceMagnates.com: “Calling
All Crypto Transactions Externalization Would Be Very Limiting,” Warns FMAS:25
Panel.
E-Commerce and Real-Time Payments Take Flight
The consumer side of Africa’s digital economy is growing
rapidly. With e-commerce expanding at over 30% per year, digitally native
buyers are shaping market behavior and expectations. The panel pointed to
Shoprite’s 60/60 delivery bikes as emblematic of this momentum.
“The Shoprite 60/60 delivery bikes are a testament to this
shift,” the panel said, underscoring the region’s embrace of convenience and
immediacy.
This push for speed also extends to payments. But real-time
settlement brings its own challenges.
“Merchants want instant settlement; consumers want
protection. The industry must align on standards,” the panel observed,
highlighting the need for coordinated action across the ecosystem.
Guardrails for the Road Ahead
No conversation on digital finance in 2025 is complete
without touching on AI—and its dual-use nature. Fraud, driven by increasingly
sophisticated tools, is a growing threat. “As fraudsters get smarter, so must our tools,” the panel
warned, urging industry-wide collaboration on security protocols and fraud
detection.
Looking forward, the panel envisioned not just more
digitization but a transformation of commerce itself. The rise of agentic
commerce, AI-powered
assistants handling transactions seamlessly on behalf of users, was flagged
as a major upcoming trend.
“We are entering an era where your digital agent could make
purchases, settle bills, or manage investments,” the panel said.
A Call to Keep the Momentum Inclusive
Closing the session, Marsh urged the audience to maintain
the momentum—but with intent. “Africa’s digital finance journey is accelerating; let’s
ensure it’s inclusive and secure.” With that, the conversation concluded not with finality but
with a call to action. As Africa embraces the tools of tomorrow, it must ensure
no one is left behind.
This article was written by Tareq Sikder at www.financemagnates.com.
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Yes… It is time for US quarterly earnings
July 14, 2025 6:55 pm | FOREX NEWS
Yes… It is time for earnings again. The big banks and financial institutions will kick-off the earnings for the current quarter along with 20% of the Dow 30 scheduled to report (which is six stocks marked by * in the list below).
What is expected?
Tuesday:
- J.P. Morgan*
- Wells Fargo
- JB Hunt
- BlackRock
- Bank of New York
- Citicorp
Wednesday:
- United Airlines
- PNC
- Goldman Sachs*
- Bank of America
- Morgan Stanley
- Johnson & Johnson *
Thursday
- Travelers*
- Netflix
- PepsiCo
- GE Aerospace
- Taiwan Semiconductor
- U.S. Bancorp
Friday
- Comerica
- Charles Schwab
- American Express*
- 3M*
Looking at the key releases and events the US CPI and PPI data will highlight the releases on Tuesday at 8:30 AM and Wednesday at 8:30 AM respectively
- Canada CPI – Tuesday, July 15 at 8:30am ETCanada’s inflation data will be closely watched, with headline CPI m/m expected at 0.2%, down from 0.6% previously. Both Median and Trimmed CPI y/y are forecast to remain steady at 3.0%, signaling a still-elevated but stable inflation environment. A softer print could strengthen the case for the Bank of Canada to consider further easing, while any upside surprise may delay those expectations.
- US CPI – Tuesday, July 15at 8:30 AM ETUS inflation is also in focus and the key release for the week with Core CPI m/m and headline CPI m/m both expected to rise 0.3%, up from 0.1% last month. The y/y CPI is forecast at 2.6%, ticking up from 2.4%. A hotter-than-expected print could weigh on Fed rate cut expectations, while a softer release would support the ongoing disinflation narrative and increase the hollers for a rate cut from Pres. Trump and other government officials
- BOE Gov Bailey Speaks at 4 PM Annual Mansion House Financial and Professional Services Dinner, in London. Markets will listen closely to Bailey’s comments for any clues on timing for future rate adjustments.
- UK CPI – Wednesday, July 16 at 2 AM ETUK CPI y/y is expected to remain unchanged at 3.4%, keeping the pressure on the BOE as inflation stays above target. Markets will listen closely to Bailey’s comments for any clues on timing for future rate adjustments.
- US PPI – Wednesday, July 16 at 8:30am ETProducer inflation is projected to edge higher, with Core PPI m/m forecast at 0.2% and headline PPI m/m at 0.3%, both slightly above last month’s 0.1%. While not as market-moving as CPI, these figures offer insight into upstream pricing pressures. The pieces of the CPI and the PPI will have the number crunchers forecasting the PCE data to be released later in the month. That inflation measure is the favored by the Fed.
- Australia Jobs Report – Wednesday, July 16 at 9:30pm ET (Thursday morning in Australia)Australia’s labor market is expected to show a solid rebound, with 21.0K jobs added, compared to a -2.5K loss previously. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%. A strong report could support the RBA’s neutral-to-hawkish stance, while a weak print may reignite easing discussions.
- US Retail Sales & Jobless Claims – Thursday, July 17 at 8:30am ETConsumer spending is expected to recover modestly, with Core Retail Sales forecast at 0.3% m/m and headline Retail Sales at 0.2% m/m, following last month’s declines. Meanwhile, unemployment claims are projected to rise slightly to 234K from 227K. The data will help shape expectations around consumer resilience and labor market conditions heading into Q3.
Other second tier data on tap next week includes:
- China Data – Monday, July 14China will release a batch of key economic figures, including GDP y/y (expected at 5.1%), Industrial Production y/y (5.6%), and Retail Sales y/y (5.2%), all showing slight deceleration from the prior month. However, New Loans surged to 1960B, up sharply from 620B, suggesting increased credit support. These figures will offer insight into the health of China’s economy and its momentum heading into H2.
- German ZEW Economic Sentiment – Tuesday, July 15 at 5:00am ETGermany’s ZEW Economic Sentiment index is expected to rise to 50.8 from 47.5, reflecting growing optimism among investors and analysts about the German economic outlook despite broader European uncertainties.
- Empire State Manufacturing Index – Tuesday, July 15 at 8:30am ETThe Empire State Manufacturing Index is projected to improve to -7.8 from -16.0, but still remains in contraction territory. While less negative, this suggests manufacturing activity in New York remains sluggish. The NY kicks off the regional indices for the month
- UK Labor Data – Thursday, July 17 at 2 AM ETUK wage pressures are expected to ease slightly, with the Average Earnings Index (3m/y) falling to 5.0% from 5.3%, while the Claimant Count Change is forecast at 17.9K, down from 33.1K. This will offer an updated look at the UK’s labor market tightness and its implications for BOE policy.
- Philly Fed Manufacturing Index – Thursday, July 17 at 8:30am ETThe Philly Fed Index is forecast to rebound to 0.4 from -4.0, possibly signaling a modest recovery in regional manufacturing conditions after recent weakness.
- Fed Speak – Thursday, July 17 at 3:30pm ETFOMC member Waller will speak, and markets will be listening closely for any updated views on the path of rate cuts, especially following key CPI and labor data earlier in the week.Waller has been a dove and coming after the June CPI and PPI data, his comments will be eyed for his current assessment for a policy change in July.
- UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – Friday, July 18 at 10:00am ETThe University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is expected to rise slightly to 61.4 from 60.7, suggesting a modest improvement in consumer outlook. Inflation expectations are projected to remain steady at 5.0%, a key metric for Fed watchers.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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BOEs Bailey: Uncertainty continues to weigh on growth expectations
July 14, 2025 6:52 pm | FOREX NEWS
BOE’s Bailey ins a letter to G20 finance ministers and central bank governors:
- Since April, market conditions have improved and asset prices have recovered
- We have seen further economic and geopolitical risks crystallize and global debt vulnerabilities remain high.
- Uncertainty continues to weigh on growth expectations.
- We need to remain vigilant to the rest of disruptive market moves.
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.
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Silver’s Shine Attracts Investors. Forecast as of 11.07.2025
July 14, 2025 6:43 pm | FOREX NEWS

Rising investment demand, the “Trump Always Chickens Out” (TACO) trading, as well as signs of fiscal dominance, have pushed XAGUSD quotes to 13-year highs. Will this rally sustain, or is it time to lock in profits? Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan. Major Takeaways Capital inflows into ETFs exceeded 95 million ounces in six months. Speculators have increased their long positions in silver by 163% since the beginning of the year. Silver is still undervalued compared to gold. Long positions on the XAGUSD can be considered with a target of $40. Monthly Fundamental Forecast for Silver In… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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