FOREX NEWS & BLOG

US Dollar No Longer Obeys the Fed. Forecast as of 08.05.2025

US Dollar No Longer Obeys the Fed. Forecast as of 08.05.2025

The US Fed can take a wait-and-see approach given the uncertainty surrounding US policy. It is evident that Donald Trump is now setting the terms for the financial markets, rather than the central bank. Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan for the EURUSD pair. Major Takeaways The Fed has decided to keep rates at 4.25-4.5%. The central bank advocates a balanced approach. The US policy is putting pressure on the US dollar. Consider buying the EURUSD pair during a rebound from 1.124 and 1.118. Weekly US Dollar Fundamental Forecast The Fed no longer views itself as the ultimate… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance

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Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 08.05.2025

Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 08.05.2025

I welcome my fellow traders! I have made a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of margin zones methodology and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. Oil has failed to break through the resistance 59.32 – 58.93. Major Takeaways USCrude: oil has returned below the resistance (B) 59.32 – 58.93. XAUUSD: gold breaks through the support (A) 3360 – 3352. EURUSD: the euro is poised to plunge below last week’s low. Oil Price Forecast for Today: USCrude Analysis Yesterday, oil tested the short-term downtrend’s key resistance 59.32… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance

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Robinhood Plans to Bridge Atlantic Gap with Securities Tokenization

Robinhood Plans to Bridge Atlantic Gap with Securities Tokenization

Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) is
working on a blockchain-based platform that would allow retail investors in
Europe to trade US securities, according to people familiar with the matter.
The initiative would expand the company’s European presence beyond its current
cryptocurrency offerings in the region.

Robinhood Developing
Blockchain Platform for European Trading of US Securities

The
platform is expected to launch through a partnership with a digital asset firm,
with both Arbitrum and Solana blockchains under consideration, though no final
agreement has been reached. Neither Robinhood nor the potential blockchain
partners have officially commented on the development, first
reported by Bloomberg
.

This move
aligns with growing interest in tokenized securities across the financial
industry. By representing traditional financial instruments on blockchain
technology, companies can potentially reduce costs associated with traditional
trading infrastructure while increasing transparency and standardization.

“Tokenized
securities can really push forward US company dominance in the global
market,” Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said in a March podcast. “Right
now, it’s very difficult to invest in a US company if you’re overseas.”

Robinhood
has been strategically positioning itself for European expansion, securing a
brokerage license in Lithuania last month that allows it to offer investment
services throughout the European Union. The company also signed a deal to
acquire crypto exchange Bitstamp in June 2024.

You may also like: Still Investing or Already Binary Options Gambling? Event Contracts Are Set to Become a “Trillion Dollar Asset Class”

$5 Billion in Tokenized
RWAs and $20 Billion in Blockchain

There’s
serious money at stake. The real-world asset (RWA) tokenization market has
already attracted $5 billion in investments
, with forecasts projecting an
average annual growth rate of 25%.

The
initiative comes as major financial institutions increasingly explore
blockchain applications. A Global Financial Markets Association report suggests
distributed ledger technology could unlock approximately $20 billion annually
in global clearing and settlement costs.

Financial
giants including BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, and Apollo have already
launched tokenized funds, with BlackRock’s USD Institutional Digital Liquidity
Fund attracting over $2 billion since its launch last year.

Robinhood
shares rose 2.7% following reports of the blockchain initiative, despite the
company reporting an almost 9% revenue decline in the first quarter of 2025.

This article was written by Damian Chmiel at www.financemagnates.com.

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Forex.com Owner’s Q2 FY25 FX and CFDs Trading Volumes Rise, but Revenue Fails to Keep Up

Forex.com Owner’s Q2 FY25 FX and CFDs Trading Volumes Rise, but Revenue Fails to Keep Up

StoneX, the parent company of Forex.com and City Index, generated $70.9 million in revenue from FX and contracts for difference (CFDs) trading during the January–March quarter. That marked a 12% drop compared to the same period last year.

However, over the six months from October 2024 to March 2025, FX and CFDs revenue rose 9% to $169.5 million. Still, results point to a notable quarter-on-quarter decline.

Financials released on Thursday also showed that the average daily trading volume (ADV) in FX and CFDs climbed 10% year-on-year to $11.5 billion. But despite higher volumes, revenue per million (RPM) fell 19% to $97.

Retail Remains the Main Contributor

The retail division continued to drive the majority of StoneX’s FX and CFDs business. Operating revenue from this segment reached $63 million in the March quarter, down 13% from the same period last year. Net operating revenue slipped 15% to $55.4 million.

Retail ADV jumped 34%, but RPM fell by the same percentage to $116, highlighting margin pressure despite greater client activity.

StoneX acquired Forex.com and City Index in 2020 when it bought GAIN Capital for $236 million. The move more than doubled its global active retail accounts to 295,000. Today, the platform serves over 400,000 retail accounts worldwide.

In a recent expansion, StoneX launched Forex.com in Singapore after securing a local licence.

Overall Performance Remains Solid

Despite the revenue dip in FX and CFDs, these products still contributed to StoneX’s overall operating revenue of $956 million in the quarter—up 17% year-over-year. After expenses, net operating revenue was $487.3 million. Net income climbed 35% to $71.7 million.

“Over the last several years, though we have benefited from a rising interest rate environment, volatility—a key driver of our business—has been generally muted,” said Sean O’Connor, CEO of StoneX. “Since the beginning of this fiscal year, increased market volatility, combined with strong client acquisition and engagement, has helped offset the decline in short-term interest rates.”

StoneX is also strengthening its futures trading business. The company has signed a definitive agreement to acquire R.J. O’Brien, the oldest futures brokerage in the United States, for $900 million in equity.

This article was written by Arnab Shome at www.financemagnates.com.

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Heads up on timing of BOE policy decision later today

Heads up on timing of BOE policy decision later today

“In light of the national two minutes of silence to commemorate the 80th anniversary of VE day, the Monetary Policy Report and minutes of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting will be published at 12.02pm (BST) on Thursday 8 May 2025, instead of the regular time of 12pm (BST).”

Just a heads up ahead of the decision later, in case you might wonder why there is a “delay”.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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UK April Halifax house prices +0.3% vs -0.1% m/m expected

UK April Halifax house prices +0.3% vs -0.1% m/m expected

  • Prior -0.5%

Slight delay in the release by the source. UK house prices beat estimates to climb in April, with the average property price moving up to £297,781. Halifax notes that:

“We know the stamp duty changes prompted a surge in transactions in the early part of this year, as
buyers rushed to beat the tax-rise deadline. However, this didn’t lead to a significant increase in property prices, with the last six months characterised by a stability in prices rarely seen since the
pandemic. While the market has cooled slightly since this rush, buyer activity remains strong in
comparison to recent years.

“Mortgage rates have continued to fall, with most lenders now offering rates below 4%. Coupled with
positive earnings growth that has outpaced broader inflation, these factors have helped to steadily
improve affordability for many buyers.

“Overall, the market continues to show resilience despite a subdued economic environment and risks
from geopolitical developments. There is likely to be a bump-up in consumer price inflation as
household bills increase, but with further base rate cuts also expected, we anticipate a similar trend of
modest price growth this year.”

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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Swiset Extends Market Reach With ATFX Trading Infrastructure Deal

Swiset Extends Market Reach With ATFX Trading Infrastructure Deal

Swiset has
announced a new partnership with CFD retail broker ATFX aimed at improving
trading experiences. The company helps retail brokers increase client retention
and boost user engagement, and has recently expanded its services to include
proprietary trading firms—a sector in which ATFX operates through its ATFunded
division.

Swiset, ATFX Form
Partnership to Enhance Trading Analytics

Although
the update lacks details and is based solely on a brief social media post
shared by Swiset, it indicates that the collaboration will integrate Swiset’s
analytics and data-driven insights with ATFX’s trading infrastructure to create
what the company describes as a more “personalized trading experience” for
clients.

“This is
more than a partnership. It’s a commitment to the future of trading,” Swiset
wrote.

What does
Swiset offer?
The company provides solutions for proprietary trading firms and
retail CFD brokers focused on scalability, risk management, and efficiency. Swiset’s
tools include AI-powered analytics, a trading journal, and mentoring solutions
tailored to multiple asset classes. Founded five years ago, Swiset processed
over 35 million transactions last year, managing accounts for more than 100,000
active traders.

“This
expansion addresses the increasing demand for scalable, data-driven solutions,
helping prop firms and brokers enhance their operational efficiency globally,”
Swiset CEO Camilo Tobar told FinanceMagnates.com a few months ago. “We
prioritize advancing risk management, performance insights, and overall
efficiency to meet the diverse needs of traders worldwide.”

ATFX, which
reported trading volumes of $776.5 billion in Q1 2025, brings substantial
market presence to the partnership. The company has been expanding its global
footprint in recent months through various technology investments.

PFT Acquisition and M4Markets
Partnership

Swiset has
been actively growing its presence in the financial technology sector, having
recently acquired PFT (Professional Financial Technologies) and implemented
artificial intelligence solutions to enhance proprietary trading operations.

“The
trading and investment landscape is increasingly integrating prop services into
its core offerings. However, the current technology within the CFD’s sector has
lagged behind advancements seen in other assets, such as futures, crypto, and
options,” said Andres Jimenez, COO of Swiset.

The company
has also partnered with other brokers including M4Markets, where it deployed AI
technology to improve introducing broker acquisition and retention.

“With
Swiset’s cutting-edge analytics, our partners will have access to deeper
insights that empower them to connect more meaningfully with traders, which is
a significant advantage for growth in today’s market,” commented Sam Chaney,
the Commercial Director of M4Markets.

In
February, the company hired a new Strategic Advisor, Ross Soodoosingh, who
previously worked for FXCM as the Senior Vice President of Marketing for over
six year.

This article was written by Damian Chmiel at www.financemagnates.com.

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Gold dips lower as market hopes build on US-UK trade deal announcement

Gold dips lower as market hopes build on US-UK trade deal announcement

The dollar is gaining some slight ground but gold is among the more noticeable movers to start the session. The precious metal is now down 0.7% on the day and touching a low of $3,336. That is running close to the 100-hour moving average (red line) of $3,330. Keep above and the near-term bias stays more bullish but break below that and the bias will turn more neutral instead.

The latest headlines comes from the UK, with media reports confirming that Trump is to announce a “heads of terms” agreement i.e. framework of a deal. The announcement will take place at 1400 GMT.

Even with this though, there will be more negotiations to follow. But after a bit of a setback with Japan, this at least will help set the tone for what may come next.

However, it is best to be reminded that the UK was not on the reciprocal tariffs list from the onset. This is due to the balanced nature of goods trade between the UK and the US. So, they have only been subject to the 10% blanket tariffs and steel, aluminum, auto tariffs. Is that a key factor to help with moving things along? I would argue so. So, there’s that to consider too.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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