FOREX NEWS & BLOG

What are the interest rates expectations for the major central banks?

What are the interest rates expectations for the major central banks?

Rate cuts by year-end

  • Fed: 66 bps (79% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • ECB: 25 bps (87% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • BoE: 53 bps (73% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • BoC: 33 bps (62% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • RBA: 80 bps (91% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • RBNZ: 32 bps (78% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • SNB: 12 bps (78% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

Rate hikes by year-end

  • BoJ: 15 bps (97% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

The most notable change is of course on the Fed. The catalyst was dovish comments from Fed’s Bowman last Monday where she even suggested a rate cut in July if inflation were to be muted. She’s been a hawk until then, so the market took those comments as a signal.

There wasn’t even any strong pushback from Fed Chair Powell as he acknowledged that anything can happen and they remain data dependent.

We have the US ISM PMIs, the US NFP and the US CPI before the July FOMC meeting and those reports will influence interest rates expectations.

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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Building Quiet Strength: Why Real Fintech Innovation Starts Below the Surface

Building Quiet Strength: Why Real Fintech Innovation Starts Below the Surface

This article was written by Richard Forss, Chief Technology Officer, EXANTE.

It’s been nearly a year since I joined EXANTE as CTO. In that time, I’ve come to appreciate a truth that might sound counterintuitive in a world obsessed with rapid disruption and flashy front-end revamps: meaningful innovation doesn’t always start where it’s most visible.

Technology in finance can be a little like architecture. A good façade might turn heads, but it’s the foundation and engineering beneath that determine whether something stands the test of time. That’s why my first months at EXANTE weren’t spent launching new dashboards or redesigning the user interface. Instead, I’ve worked methodically from the inside out—reviewing, refining and reinforcing the very core of our infrastructure.

It’s not glamorous work, but it’s the kind of engineering discipline that makes or breaks a trading platform. Traders don’t just want beautiful design; they want speed, reliability, and access to the tools they trust most—seamlessly and securely.

That’s why one of our proudest milestones in the past year has been the integration of EXANTE’s platform with Bloomberg’s Execution Management System (EMS). For clients, this means they can now connect their EXANTE trading accounts directly to Bloomberg EMSX through their Bloomberg Terminal. It’s a natural alignment between two world-class infrastructures, offering professional traders the kind of execution precision they’ve come to expect—now all accessible through a single window, backed by EXANTE’s robust architecture.

We didn’t make a lot of noise about this integration when it launched. Frankly, at a company like EXANTE, we considered it table stakes—part of our ongoing commitment to serious, professional-grade trading. But in hindsight, perhaps we should have spoken louder. Because for all our obsession with building a best-in-class platform, we sometimes forget just how much we’ve already delivered.

As we continue to scale our technology this year, we’ll have more to share—new features, expanded asset classes, deeper integrations. But our guiding principle will remain the same: building quietly, thoughtfully, and always with the trader in mind. I believe the best platforms don’t just evolve; they earn trust over time, through every millisecond of uptime, every execution filled, every new connection that just works.

At EXANTE, we’re not here to chase trends. We’re here to build the kind of platform that professionals can rely on, and that starts by getting the foundations right.About Richard

Richard Forss is the CTO of EXANTE, where he leads the evolution of the firm’s cutting-edge proprietary trading platform. With 30+ years in fintech, Richard has built tech for hedge funds, crypto brokerages, asset managers, and global banks — including leadership roles at Crypto Finance (Deutsche Börse Group), Covario AG, Argentière Capital, Deutsche Bank, and UBS.

Based in Switzerland, he’s a strategic technologist with deep expertise in trading infrastructure, crypto, and AI. Richard is shaping the future of financial technology — and is a sought-after voice on innovation in capital markets.

This article was written by FM Contributors at www.financemagnates.com.

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EuroStoxx 50 Shines As Greenback Loses Allure. Forecast as of 30.06.2025

EuroStoxx 50 Shines As Greenback Loses Allure. Forecast as of 30.06.2025

Despite the S&P 500 reaching a new record high, the US stock index in dollar terms lost 16 percentage points to its European counterpart in the first half of the year. What developments can we expect in the second half of the year? Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan for the EuroStoxx 50 index. Major Takeaways The EuroStoxx 50 outperforms the S&P 500 due to a weaker US dollar. The European stock index is 35% cheaper than its US counterpart. Capital flow from the US to Europe may reach $1.4 trillion. Long positions on the EuroStoxx 50… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance

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Bitcoin reaches and consolidates at the upper bound of the bullish flag

Bitcoin reaches and consolidates at the upper bound of the bullish flag

Bitcoin has been on a great run since last Monday after the dovish Fed’s Bowman comments and the end of the Israel-Iran conflict. The cryptocurrency continues to be supported by positive growth and liquidity drivers with financial conditions easing steadily. The path of least resistance remains to the upside given the expansionary fiscal policies and impending rate cuts.

In the short-term, the only risk I can see is a hawkish repricing in interest rates expectations which could provide a pullback. But given that the Fed’s reaction function remains to either wait more or cut, the market should eventually get back to its upward trend.

We have key catalysts in the next two weeks including the ISM PMIs, the US NFP and the US CPI. The data will influence interest rates expectations and therefore bitcoin’s price action. To keep the trend going, we would need soft inflation figures and benign labour market data. Since the market is now leaning more towards three cuts by year-end, hawkish data would see that being repriced to two cuts.

On the daily chart, we can see that we reached the upper bound of the bullish flag. For the buyers, if we get a breakout the target is generally a projection of the flag “pole” which in this case would be the rally since April 9 tariff pause. This would put the target around the $135,000 level, but a more conservative $125,000 would have higher probabilities. The sellers, on the other hand, will likely step in around these levels to position for a drop back into the lower bound of the flag.

On the 1 hour chart, we can see that the bullish momentum waned a bit as we got near the upper bound of the flag. We have a key support zone around the $107,000 ish level where the buyers continue to pile in with a defined risk below the support to keep pushing into new highs. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking lower to increase the bearish bets into the lower bound of the flag around the $100,000 level.

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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IG Group Unlocks Over £425 Million amid a Capital Reduction

IG Group Unlocks Over £425 Million amid a Capital Reduction

IG Group (LON: IGG) has carried out a capital reduction, an accounting move that reshuffles money already held in the company’s equity accounts. The process was finalised after the UK High Court approved the plan, following a green light from shareholders.

Hundreds of Millions of Pounds Unlocked

Announced today (Friday), the company trimmed three reserves: it released £300 million by briefly creating and then cancelling a new class of “New Deferred Shares”, reduced an additional £125.7 million from the share premium account, and also cut down the capital redemption reserve by £3,501.

IG Group is a London-listed company, and UK law ring-fences certain reserves; they cannot be paid out as dividends or used for buybacks until unlocked.

You may also like: London Market in “Terminal Decline” – Don’t Worry, IG Group’s Got a Rescue Plan

By shifting the amounts above into “distributable profits”, IG gains extra room to pay larger or more regular dividends, continue or expand share buyback programmes, or carry out other actions in favour of shareholders, all without raising new capital.

In an earlier circular, IG also confirmed that it would use the capital for “the flexibility to make future distributions of profits in cash or in specie and/or to make purchases of its own shares.”

There is also a chance that IG might buy other brands. Earlier this year, the London broker bought the entirety of Freetrade, a retail trading platform, paying £160 million in cash. The deal, however, drew some criticism from Freetrade’s early investors.

Returning Value to Shareholders

The company is also using its available cash to buy back its shares. It has an ongoing £200 million share buyback programme, which was launched in July last year and topped up in January 2025.

The London-listed broker also completed two other buyback programmes with headline amounts of £150 million and £250 million, respectively.

Meanwhile, IG is expected to close the ongoing fiscal year 2025 with revenue and adjusted profit that “meet or slightly exceed the upper end of the current range” of market expectations. It said it has “performed strongly in Q4 FY25 as elevated volatility across a range of asset classes, particularly in April, has resulted in higher levels of client trading activity than expected in typical market conditions.”

In the first quarter of FY25, which spanned June to August 2024, IG generated £278.9 million in revenue, a 15 per cent year-on-year increase. In Q2 and Q3, the company brought in £243.6 million and £268.0 million, respectively.

This article was written by Arnab Shome at www.financemagnates.com.

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Fintech360 Takes Top Spot for All-In-One Brokerage Solution at UF AWARDS Global 2025

Fintech360 Takes Top Spot for All-In-One Brokerage Solution at UF AWARDS Global 2025

Fintech360 has been named the winner of the Best All-In-One Brokerage Solution at the UF AWARDS Global 2025, gaining the highest recognition for international financial technology companies.

The award underscores Fintech360’s commitment to delivering a fully integrated brokerage ecosystem that sets a rigorous standard for the industry.

Established in 2021, the UF AWARDS Global are known for honouring the most innovative and influential companies in finance. Arguably the industry’s most credible awards, the UF AWARDS Global legitimise the best brokerage and fintech brands to trade and do business with on a global scale, they call the entire industry to the polls in transparent and fair nominations based on stringent criteria of quality and diversity of offering.

The “Best All-In-One Brokerage Solution” Award is a premier recognition in the B2B sector, saluting companies whose technology is the foundation of modern finance, supporting clients to boost efficiency, enhance security, and drive growth.

With 8000+ broker clients, Fintech360 is on a mission to use its experience in financial technologies and brokerage to create holistic fintech solutions. The firm stands out for its complete ecosystem, which includes:

● CRM

● trading platforms

● branded mobile apps

● funding solutions

● partner gateways

● business intelligence integrations

Every part of the system works smoothly together and can be adjusted to meet different business needs. This flexibility enables brokers to launch faster, minimise development costs, and maintain high-quality standards.

Security features

Security is a core feature of Fintech360’s platform. The solution offers enterprise-grade protection, with role-based access, two-factor authentication, API encryption, data loss prevention, and cloud infrastructure designed for maximum safety. All client data is managed with in-house storage protocols, eliminating third-party dependencies and ensuring that sensitive information remains protected.

Faster time to market

The company’s approach to brokerage technology is rooted in innovation and strategic vision. By providing a customisable and smartly integrated solution, Fintech360 enables brokers to respond quickly to market changes and client demands.

The platform’s design facilitates faster time to market, so that clients can capitalise on new opportunities while avoiding lengthy development cycles.

Fintech360’s achievement at the UF AWARDS Global 2025 follows a year of significant milestones. The company’s participation in major industry events, such as the iFX EXPO International 2025, has further solidified its reputation as a leader in fintech innovation. The recognition from UF AWARDS reflects the company’s ongoing dedication to high performance and its role in shaping the future of financial technology.

The award win is a testament to the firm’s determination to deliver value to brokers and their clients. Fintech360’s all-in-one platform delivers the essential tools, strong security, and adaptable features that businesses need to succeed in a rapidly changing financial environment.

As the industry continues to advance, Fintech360’s new accolade reinforces its mission to create holistic fintech solutions that empower clients to achieve greater efficiency, security, and growth.

Visit their website to learn more.

This article was written by FM Contributors at www.financemagnates.com.

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EURUSD Forecast & Predictions for 2025, 2026–2027, and Beyond

EURUSD Forecast & Predictions for 2025, 2026–2027, and Beyond

The EUR/USD currency pair is widely considered one of the most popular and traded pairs in the global currency market. Its rate reflects shifts in economic conditions across the US and the eurozone. The pair’s fluctuations are sensitive to the Fed and the ECB, inflation rate, and global events. This article delves into EURUSD forecasts for 2025 and beyond, assessing market sentiment and considering technical and fundamental factors. Read this material to get a definitive answer to the main question: is it worth investing in this currency pair now? Major Takeaways The current price of the EURUSD pair is $1.17279… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance

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Capital.com Aims to “Contribute to Policy Discussions”: Joins Two More UK Fintech Bodies

Capital.com Aims to “Contribute to Policy Discussions”: Joins Two More UK Fintech Bodies

Capital.com announced today (Monday) that it has joined Innovate Finance and the London Chamber of Commerce to continue supporting the United Kingdom’s financial services ecosystem and to remain engaged with key industry bodies.

A Move by CFDs Broker to Back UK Fintech

Earlier this year, the contracts for differences (CFDs) broker joined TheCityUK and UK Finance as part of its wider effort to connect with the UK financial services sector.

“These memberships allow us to collaborate more closely with industry peers, contribute to policy discussions, and champion innovation that benefits clients and communities alike,” said Rupert Osborne, Capital.com’s CEO of UK operations, commenting on its latest affiliations.

More and more CFDs brokers are now stepping up efforts to support London’s place in the global financial markets. Recently, IG Group launched a campaign to help the city’s stock exchange. The London-listed broker urged the removal of stamp duty on investments and called for incentives to encourage backing of local businesses.

Innovate Finance is an industry body that works to speed up the growth of the UK fintech sector by supporting technology-focused companies. The London Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI), meanwhile, is a business group in the city that takes part in public policy discussions.

“This partnership reinforces our shared commitment to enhancing London’s position as a global business hub,” said Liz Giles, Policy and Communications Director at LCCI. “Capital.com’s expertise in fintech and digital trading complements LCCI’s ongoing efforts to support improved financial services, promote diversity and inclusion, and improve access to funding for SMEs.”

Capital.com’s Strong Growth

Viktor Prokopenya-owned Capital.com has grown rapidly since its launch in 2016. The broker reported client trading volume of $656 billion in the first quarter of 2025. While it maintains a strong presence in the UK, the Middle East has now become its leading market, bringing in 53 per cent of the total volume during the quarter.

The broker also recently introduced a $1 million private insurance cover for accounts held by its continental European clients, designed to offer added protection in the event of the firm’s insolvency. This insurance is in addition to the €20,000 provided under Cyprus’ Investor Compensation Fund (ICF).

This article was written by Arnab Shome at www.financemagnates.com.

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ECB’s de Guindos: Facing brutal uncertainty

ECB’s de Guindos: Facing brutal uncertainty

  • Facing brutal uncertainty.
  • Q2, Q3 growth will be almost flat.
  • Consumption as a driver hasn’t happened.
  • Current interest rate position is correct.
  • Seen remarkable services inflation deceleration.
  • Inflation figure has been positive.
  • Rate policy is compatible with convergence to 2% target.
  • We must keep all rate options open because of uncertainty.
  • Doubts regarding US are reflected in the dollar.
  • The euro could be reserve currency if Europe does it right.
  • I hope there is a US-EU trade agreement by July 9.

Central bankers have been lamenting about high uncertainty since Trump started with his tariffs. The Fed has been the only central bank taking a more cautious approach and not adjusting monetary policy, while others like the ECB delivered rate cuts because of growth fears.

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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