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ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: USD/JPY pops above 159.10 briefly

ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: USD/JPY pops above 159.10 briefly

The
focus for the session was on Japan’s May inflation data.

Prior
to this we had poor preliminary PMI data from Australia for June.
AUD/USD has done very little on the session.

Japan’s
inflation was mixed, with the headline and ‘core’ (excluding
fresh food) rising while core-core (excluding food and energy) fell
to its slowest since September 2022. While the data was not conclusive there
is likely to be enough in it to allow the Bank of Japan to raise
short term rates at its next meeting (July 30 and 31) if it chooses
that path. There will be another CPI reading prior to that meeting so
it may be too early to reach a view on this.

Also
from Japan today we had verbal intervention comments from, in order:

  • Vice-minister
    for international affairs at Japan’s Ministry of Finance Kanda. He is
    the official who will instruct the BOJ to intervene, when he judges
    it necessary.
  • Japan’s
    chief cabinet secretary Hayashi
  • Japan’s
    finance minister Suzuki

Also, reports
out of Japan say utility subsidies are to resume, gasoline subsidies
will remain, and measures to reduce the burden of electricity and gas
prices are being prepared.

In late US time the US Trasury released its latest “Macroeconomic and Foreign Exchange Policies of Major Trading Partners” report. It put Japan back on currency manipulation monitoring list

USD/JPY
traded up above 159.10, but only briefly. Its back around 158.90 or
so as I update.

Major
FX rates apart from those mentioned already traded subdued ranges
only.

As
a heads up, it could be a volatile US session, especially for the
equity and equity derivative folks. Friday’s ‘Quad Witching’
options expiry is the largest ever. US$5.1 trillion in notional
options exposure expiring, including $870 billion in single stock
options.

USD/CNH is off its high. The PBOC did nudge the CNY a touch weaker again at the reference rate setting today, but by only 4 ticks (7.1196 today vs. 7.1192 on Thursday) :

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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Tune in Monday for the Bank of Japan Summary of its June meeting

Tune in Monday for the Bank of Japan Summary of its June meeting

The Bank of Japan meeting in June produced the commitment to trim back JGB buying from the following, July, meeting:

On Monday we’ll get more detail from that meeting with the release of the ‘Summary of Opinions’ . The Summary serves as a record of the discussion and views of the Policy Board members on various economic and financial issues.

Key points about the Summary:

  • The summary includes the views of the Policy Board members on economic conditions, both domestically and globally. This includes assessments of economic growth, inflation, and employment trends, among other indicators.
  • The summary also outlines the Policy Board members’ views on the effectiveness of the BOJ’s current monetary policy measures, including interest rate policy, asset purchases, and yield curve control. Members may discuss the pros and cons of these policies and their potential impact on the economy.
  • The summary includes discussions on the outlook for monetary policy and the potential risks to the economy. Board members may express their views on the appropriate timing and direction of future policy changes, as well as the potential impact of external factors such as global economic conditions.
  • The summary also includes any dissenting views among the Policy Board members. If a member disagrees with the majority view on a particular issue, they may express their own opinion and rationale.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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Japan will resume subsidies for utilites and continue with gasoline subsidies

Japan will resume subsidies for utilites and continue with gasoline subsidies

Fuji News Network (FNN) citing Prime Minister Kishida:

  • to resume utility subsidies
  • to maintain gasoline subsidies

Also, via NHK:

  • Japan’s government is in the final preparation stage to adopt additionnal steps to ease the burden of higher electricity and gas prices

USD/JPY is off from its earlier highs:

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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