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September 24, 2022 3:49 pm | Uncategorized
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JP Morgan analyst warns on stock flash crash – ” might come one day out of the blue”
March 29, 2024 9:54 am | FOREX NEWS
A JP Morgan analyst was out with a somewhat generic warning in the middle of the week. Warning that excessive crowding in the market’s best-performing stocks raises the risk of an imminent correction:
- “It just might come one day out of the blue. This has happened in the past, we’ve had flash crashes”
He described the process:
- “One big fund starts de-levering some positions, a second fund hears that and tries to re-position, the third fund basically gets caught off guard, and the next thing you know, we start having a bigger and bigger momentum unwind.”
Says much of the positive news is discounted already:
- “A lot of goodies have gotten priced in”
- sees few sources of upside surprise beyond Nvidia and the prospects for AI innovation. “That source of upside surprise is becoming more and more limited, and on the flipside, you do have more risks that are hovering in the background,”
—
The challenge is the timing. Only Thursday was this:
FOMO is ruling right now.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
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EURUSD: Elliott wave analysis and forecast for 29.03.24 – 05.04.24
March 29, 2024 9:44 am | FOREX NEWS
Main scenario: consider short positions from corrections below the level of 1.0942 with a target of 1.0688 – 1.0613. Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.0942 will allow the pair to continue rising to the levels of 1.1141 – 1.1350. Analysis: a bearish wave of larger degree A is presumably completed on the daily chart. A bullish wave B started unfolding, with first wave 1 of (A) of B and corrective second wave 2 of (A) of B formed as its part. Apparently, the third wave 3 of (A) of B is developing on the H4 time… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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US core PCE inflation set to ease in February on month as Federal Reserve rate cut bets for June mount
March 29, 2024 9:38 am | FOREX NEWS
The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation measure, will be published on Friday by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) at 12:30 GMT.
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Analyst says the Bank of Japan is “very, very close” to intervening in JPY
March 29, 2024 9:34 am | FOREX NEWS
Steven Englander is head of Global G10 FX research and North America macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank. He spoke in an interview with CNBC:
- “I think we’re actually very, very close to them [Japanese authorities] jumping in … they’ve already discussed the political consequences and nobody’s sitting there asking for a weaker yen,”
- intervention would be aimed at buying time until the Fed starts cutting interest rates or for the Bank of Japan to hike its rates a little more
—
I posted on a heads-up from Japanese PMI Kishida hinting at government/BOJ ‘coordination’ earlier:
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A note on the mechanics of intervention:
- The Ministry of Finance (MOF) in Japan is responsible for formulating foreign exchange policy in the country, while the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is responsible for executing such policies, particularly in terms of FX intervention.
- The MOF can decide to intervene in the FX market if it believes (in the current situation) the yen is too weak. Once the MOF decides to intervene, it gives instructions to the BOJ. The BOJ then conducts operations in the FX market by (in current circumstances) buying yen. The Foreign Exchange Fund Special Account (FEFSA), which falls under the jurisdiction of the MOF, is used for interventions. You will note that in the current situation, where the BOJ would buy yen, they will dip into USD reserves to fund the other side of the trade, buying USD (or other currencies if needed).
- The BOJ’s operations are usually conducted through commercial banks that deal in the foreign exchange market. They may be spot transactions, or forward transactions that are set to occur at a future date. Note that while the MOF has the ultimate authority to decide when to intervene, it does so in close consultation with the BOJ. The BOJ provides expertise and advice on monetary and financial market conditions, which can influence the MOF’s decision. This collaboration reflects the balance between the roles of the two entities: the MOF as the government’s chief financial and economic advisor, and the BOJ as the country’s central bank that maintains stability in the financial system.
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.
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Short-term analysis for oil, gold, and EURUSD for 29.03.2024
March 29, 2024 9:32 am | FOREX NEWS
I welcome my fellow traders! I have made a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of margin zones methodology and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders. The short-term gold uptrend continued yesterday. Oil price forecast for today: USCrude analysis Yesterday, the oil price broke out the upper Target Zone 82.34 – 81.35 and consolidated higher. The next growth target is the Gold Zone 84.98 – 84.65. Market trading is closed today, so you can make a trading plan for Monday. If during trading on Monday, March 19 high is… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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GBP/USD Price Analysis: The first downside target is seen at the 1.2600–1.2605 zone
March 29, 2024 9:27 am | FOREX NEWS
The GBP/USD pair trades on a weaker note around 1.2620 during the early European session on Friday.
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France March preliminary CPI +2.3% vs +2.6% y/ y expected
March 29, 2024 9:14 am | FOREX NEWS
- Prior +3.0%
- HICP +2.4% vs +2.8% y/y expected
- Prior +3.2%
The drop is definitely encouraging and reaffirms that the ECB is well on track to cut rates this June. Looking at the details, food price inflation fell from 3.6% in February to 1.7% in March. Meanwhile, services inflation also eased a bit more from 3.2% in the last month to 3.0% this month.
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
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USD/JPY sticks to 151.40 amid BoJ’s cautious approach regarding monetary conditions
March 29, 2024 9:00 am | FOREX NEWS
USD/JPY remains calm and hovers around 151.40 during the early European hours on Friday.
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Pound Sterling drifts lower to 1.2620
March 29, 2024 8:52 am | FOREX NEWS
The GBP/USD pair trades on a weaker note around 1.2620 during the early European session on Friday.
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Awesome Oscillator Pullback Rejection Forex Trading Strategy for MT5
March 29, 2024 8:44 am | FOREX NEWS
Trending markets are some of the easiest types of market conditions to trade in. This is because trending markets often have a clear trend direction. Traders who simply follow the direction of the trend could significantly improve their trading accuracy just by doing so. All they have to do is simply trade in the direction […]
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Short-term analysis for BTCUSD, XRPUSD, and ETHUSD for 29.03.2024
March 29, 2024 8:31 am | FOREX NEWS
I welcome my readers! I have prepared a short-term cryptocurrency forecast based on the Elliott wave analysis of Bitcoin, Ripple, and Ethereum. I offer entry signals to trade each cryptocurrency. Elliott wave Bitcoin analysis The BTCUSD market is forming a horizontal correction (4) as a contracting triangle A-B-C-D-E, as outlined in the chart. As of now, the first wave A has completed. Correction B is about to finish. The price should resume declining in the C wave to a level of 62338.54. One could enter short positions. Trading plan for BTCUSD today: Sell 70425.07, Take profit: 62338.54 Elliott wave Ripple analysis The XRPUSD… Read full author’s opinion and review in blog of #LiteFinance
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Easton-Controlled Skilled Funded Trader Suspends Prop Trading Operations
March 29, 2024 8:08 am | FOREX NEWS
Skilled Funded Trader, a prop trading company controlled by Easton Consulting Technologies, has “has temporarily ceased all operations, including new purchases, effective immediately.” The operators of the platform are now displaying a service termination message on its website.
“Over the coming week, we will follow up with specifics regarding each of your individual circumstances as we explore alternatives to resume operations,” the message on the website noted.
A Collapsing Prop Trading Empire?
The service termination came at the same time The Funded Trader, another portfolio firm of Easton Consulting Technologies, “paused all operations.” The administrator of the official Discord server of Skilled Funded Traders also highlighted that Easton is not clarifying anything on the situation.
“We have been waiting to get clarification on what’s going to happen, but have been left in the dark with complete radio silence and not had any responses from the operations partner Easton,” the prop trading firm’s administrator Riz Iqbal, who goes by the social media user WordsofRizdom, noted.
“As of the 15th of March I officially was no longer an owner of SFT, I gave up my shares to Easton for no financial gain and the reason this wasn’t announced was because I was still trying to find solutions for the traders and proactively help. Also as part of the agreement I was stuck for 60 days after the agreement was signed.”
The Truth About Skilled Funded Traders (SFT)https://t.co/B9h5E3WbM2
— Riz Iqbal (@Wordsof_Rizdom) March 28, 2024
Will the Customers Be Compensated?
Similar to The Funded Trader, dozens of customers of Skilled Funded Trader also took to social media, especially Trustpilot, to post complaints, including payout denials and even trading conditions. The prop trading firm also acknowledged the issues it was facing with the migration to platforms like cTrader and DXtrade.
“This last month we were led to believe that a possible acquisition/buyout would be possible to alleviate circumstances. This turned out to not be true and we were misled the entire time,” Iqbal added.
This article was written by Arnab Shome at www.financemagnates.com.
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